Oleksandr Storozhenko vs Denys Maltsev 0-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 12Finished

Oleksandr Storozhenko

Home

1.67

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 2

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

10126111012––––

Denys Maltsev

Away

2.10

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Won last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:57 and never touched: 57.0% is still 57.0%

Graded at full time

Oleksandr Storozhenko to win

57.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingOleksandr Storozhenko above · Denys Maltsev below

Set 1 · 10-12

Set 2 · 6-11

Set 3 · 10-12

Point 61 set 3, 10-12 · our read held Oleksandr Storozhenko at 57.0%

61 points played in total.

H2H Oleksandr Storozhenko 32–36 Denys Maltsev Oleksandr Storozhenko has won 32 of their 68 meetings.

Last 10 · 5–5Head to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Storozhenko

Storozhenko 1.67/Maltsev 2.10

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

57%

Storozhenko · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Maltsev won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 20:57

57.0%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666

short by 3.0pp

60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)

What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.67 (56%)

Storozhenko

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

32-36 in 68

Maltsev

Correct

gap of 4 in 68, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Storozhenko 1604 vs Maltsev 1505

Storozhenko

Wrong

both rated, 99 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Storozhenko 40% vs Maltsev 60%

Maltsev

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Storozhenko 50% vs Maltsev 30%

Storozhenko

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Storozhenko +2 · Maltsev +2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 57% · Slight lean (leans Storozhenko) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Maltsev: form 60%, the price implies 48%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsStorozhenko 1.666 / Maltsev 2.10

Signal prob.57% / 43%

Edge (Storozhenko)-3.0pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeStorozhenko5wins

AwayMaltsev5wins

4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeStorozhenko100%4 of 4

AwayMaltsev83.3%5 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Storozhenko4Maltsev6n = 10Maltsev took 6 of 10

S2Storozhenko5Maltsev5n = 10split evenly

S3Storozhenko7Maltsev3n = 10Storozhenko took 7 of 10

S4Storozhenko7Maltsev0n = 7Storozhenko took 7 of 7

S5Storozhenko0Maltsev4n = 4Maltsev took 4 of 4

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away440%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricStorozhenkoMaltsevS − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.236.1+3.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricStorozhenkoMaltsevBasisWin rate · lifetime311 / 592 vs 462 / 91252.5%50.7%311 / 592 vs 462 / 912Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.0per match

Setka Cup · #13281028

Storozhenko1.67

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 1 day ago (Oct 11)

Won last 2

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite56% won 181 of 326

Up 2–0, closes it89% 63 of 71

Up 1–0, closes it69% 113 of 163

Maltsev2.10

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 10)

Won last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog43% won 84 of 196

Down 0–1, comes back18% 16 of 89

Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 43

Oleksandr Storozhenko vs Denys Maltsev 0-3 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Oleksandr Storozhenko vs Denys Maltsev 0-3 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.