Jan Muska vs Krystof Lahodny 3-0

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupHall 42 - B2 · Prague

Played Oct 11Finished

Jan Muska

Home

1.62

At publish

Lost last 5

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 5

Final

3 – 0

Set by set

13111311118––––

Krystof Lahodny

Away

2.20

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:00 and never touched: 57.7% is still 57.7%

Graded at full time

Jan Muska to win

57.7%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingJan Muska above · Krystof Lahodny below

Set 1 · 13-11

Set 2 · 13-11

Set 3 · 11-8

Point 67 set 3, 11-8 · our read held Jan Muska at 57.7%

67 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 10:00

57.7%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615

short by 4.2pp

61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)

What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.61 (58%)

Muska

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Muska 1649 vs Lahodny 1544

Muska

Correct

both rated, 105 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Muska 0% vs Lahodny 60%

Lahodny

Wrong

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Muska 30% vs Lahodny 60%

Lahodny

Wrong

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Muska -5 · Lahodny -2

Muska

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 58% · Slight lean (leans Muska) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Lahodny form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsMuska 1.615 / Lahodny 2.20

Signal prob.58% / 42%

Edge (Muska)-4.2pp (anti-value)

TT Cup · #13277136

Muska1.61

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 9 days ago (Oct 02) · back after a break

Lost last 5

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite50% won 16 of 32

Up 2–0, closes it89% 8 of 9

Up 1–0, closes it68% 13 of 19

Lahodny2.20

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 14 days ago (Sep 27) · back after a break

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog39% won 17 of 44

Down 0–1, comes back23% 6 of 26

Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 13

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricMuskaLahodnyBasisWin rate · lifetime45 / 96 vs 31 / 6446.9%48.4%45 / 96 vs 31 / 64Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.736.9per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Muska

Muska 1.61/Lahodny 2.20

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

57.7%

Muska · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–0

Muska won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

J. Muska10