TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Adam Svoboda vs Alexander Mikuska 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProA12 · Liberec
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
101211661114121210
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingAdam Svoboda above · Alexander Mikuska below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 14-12
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 104 set 5, 12-10
104 points played in total.
H2H Adam Svoboda 2–1 Alexander Mikuska Alexander Mikuska has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Svoboda beat Mikuska 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mikuska form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvoboda 2.00 / Mikuska 1.727
Czech Liga Pro · #13272762
Svoboda2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 50 of 127
Down 0–1, comes back20% 16 of 79
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 45
Mikuska1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite74% won 45 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it100% 22 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it87% 33 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSvoboda2wins
AwayMikuska1wins
3 of 3 to a deciderSvoboda leads 2–1, and 3 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvobodan = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayMikuska33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svoboda0Mikuska3n = 3Mikuska took 3 of 3
S2Svoboda2Mikuska1n = 3Svoboda took 2 of 3
S3Svoboda3Mikuska0n = 3Svoboda took 3 of 3
S4Svoboda1Mikuska2n = 3Mikuska took 2 of 3
S5Svoboda2Mikuska1n = 3Svoboda took 2 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home267%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSvobodaMikuskaS − MBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match48.346.7+1.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvobodaMikuskaBasisWin rate · lifetime221 / 410 vs 128 / 24353.9%52.7%221 / 410 vs 128 / 243Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
MikuskaSvoboda 2.00/Mikuska 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–2
Svoboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WOct 10 · 02:00A. Svoboda471011114113A. Mikuska4512861182
LOct 7 · 01:30A. Svoboda47961111102A. Mikuska48111177123
WSep 13 · 00:00A. Svoboda511111117113A. Mikuska4713871182
A. Svoboda10
WOct 10 · 02:00A. Svoboda2.101011114113A. Mikuska1.6712861182WOct 10 · 01:00A. Svoboda2.20117913113T. Dousa1.61711111142LOct 10 · 00:00J. Dedek1.531111113A. Svoboda2.388750LOct 9 · 22:30K. Darin1.5011117113A. Svoboda2.50691151WOct 9 · 21:30J. Dedek1.8011850A. Svoboda1.901311113WOct 9 · 20:00K. Novak1.578270A. Svoboda2.251111113LOct 9 · 19:00Y. Holovatiuk1.44118114113A. Svoboda2.6361181152WOct 9 · 18:30A. Svoboda3.00911411113J. Dedek1.3611611982LOct 8 · 13:30A. Svoboda1.48119611142M. Stefek2.45511115163WOct 8 · 12:00A. Svoboda1.44911811113M. Stefek2.6311911692
A. Mikuska10
LOct 10 · 02:00A. Svoboda2.101011114113A. Mikuska1.6712861182LOct 10 · 00:30A. Mikuska1.57137120K. Darin2.251511143WOct 9 · 23:00A. Mikuska2.2011116133J. Dedek1.617211111LOct 9 · 22:00T. Dousa2.10129811113A. Mikuska1.67101111732WOct 7 · 03:30M. Kolar2.503550A. Mikuska1.501111113WOct 7 · 02:30A. Mikuska2.25134116113V. Postelt1.57111171192WOct 7 · 01:30A. Svoboda2.10961111102A. Mikuska1.67111177123WOct 7 · 00:00A. Mikuska1.501110711113M. Kolar2.5081211372LOct 6 · 23:00F. Briza2.501111113A. Mikuska1.505660LSep 27 · 02:59J. Plachy1.91149911113A. Mikuska1.80121111532
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