TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Alexander Mikuska vs Kyryl Darin 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProA12 · Liberec
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
13157111214––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 00:26 and never touched: 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeAlexander Mikuska to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAlexander Mikuska above · Kyryl Darin below
Set 1 · 13-15
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 12-14
Point 72 set 3, 12-14 · our read held Alexander Mikuska at 57.7%
72 points played in total.
H2H Alexander Mikuska 13–3 Kyryl Darin Kyryl Darin has won 3 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 00:2657.7%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571
short by 6.0pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Mikuska
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
13-3 in 16
Mikuska
Wrong
gap of 10 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mikuska 1537 vs Darin 1581
Darin
Correct
both rated, 44 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mikuska 80% vs Darin 40%
Mikuska
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mikuska 50% vs Darin 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mikuska +1 · Darin -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% · Slight lean (leans Mikuska) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mikuska form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMikuska 1.571 / Darin 2.25
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Mikuska)-6.0pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13263911
Mikuska1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite74% won 45 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it100% 22 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it87% 33 of 38
Darin2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 175 of 417
Down 0–1, comes back20% 45 of 229
Down 0–2, comes back5% 7 of 141
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMikuska8wins
AwayDarin2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMikuska leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMikuska100%5 of 5
AwayDarin40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mikuska5Darin5n = 10split evenly
S2Mikuska5Darin5n = 10split evenly
S3Mikuska6Darin4n = 10Mikuska took 6 of 10
S4Mikuska5Darin2n = 7Mikuska took 5 of 7
S5Mikuska4Darin0n = 4Mikuska took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMikuskaDarinM − DBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.733.6+5.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMikuskaDarinBasisWin rate · lifetime128 / 241 vs 793 / 158853.1%49.9%128 / 241 vs 793 / 1588Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
MikuskaMikuska 1.57/Darin 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Mikuska · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Darin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 20 · 01:30A. Mikuska43111011113K. Darin28412751
WSep 3 · 03:00A. Mikuska50891111113K. Darin4011118642
WSep 3 · 00:30A. Mikuska46119114113K. Darin4131171192
WJul 31 · 23:00A. Mikuska44411711113K. Darin4511911862
LJul 28 · 23:30A. Mikuska2046100K. Darin341111123
WJul 9 · 03:30A. Mikuska331111113K. Darin217590
LJul 9 · 02:30A. Mikuska29711291K. Darin4011711113
WJun 13 · 00:30A. Mikuska46114911113K. Darin4361111782
WApr 14 · 01:30A. Mikuska43101111113K. Darin33127681
WNov 30 · 04:00A. Mikuska331111113K. Darin116230
A. Mikuska10
WOct 9 · 23:00A. Mikuska2.2011116133J. Dedek1.617211111LOct 9 · 22:00T. Dousa2.10129811113A. Mikuska1.67101111732WOct 7 · 03:30M. Kolar2.503550A. Mikuska1.501111113WOct 7 · 02:30A. Mikuska2.25134116113V. Postelt1.57111171192WOct 7 · 01:30A. Svoboda2.10961111102A. Mikuska1.67111177123WOct 7 · 00:00A. Mikuska1.501110711113M. Kolar2.5081211372LOct 6 · 23:00F. Briza2.501111113A. Mikuska1.505660LSep 27 · 02:59J. Plachy1.91149911113A. Mikuska1.80121111532LSep 27 · 01:30A. Mikuska1.8311851152J. Plachy1.83311119113LSep 27 · 00:30J. Dedek1.73141111113A. Mikuska2.00163371
K. Darin10
LOct 9 · 23:30T. Dousa1.731211113K. Darin2.0010890WOct 9 · 22:30K. Darin1.5011117113A. Svoboda2.50691151WOct 9 · 21:00F. Jungman1.6741060K. Darin2.101112113LOct 9 · 20:30K. Darin1.838970J. Plachy1.831111113LOct 9 · 19:00K. Darin2.007711101T. Dousa1.7311116123LOct 9 · 18:00F. Jungman1.671111611143K. Darin2.10136117122WOct 8 · 13:30K. Darin1.911211113R. Pavelka1.8010830WOct 8 · 12:30K. Darin1.9141111113J. Prokupek1.80115361WOct 8 · 11:00K. Darin1.80961111113J. Dedek1.9111117582WOct 8 · 10:00R. Pavelka1.446690K. Darin2.631111113
Upcoming Matches
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