TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Filip Jungman vs Kyryl Darin 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProA17 Hall · Liberec
Played Oct 9Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11131166111171412
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:32 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFilip Jungman to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
RightSent to Pro: Kyryl Darin @ 1.91 · Lost
The Pro pick went the other way, on a re-read before the serve.
How it is goingFilip Jungman above · Kyryl Darin below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 14-12
Point 102 set 5, 14-12 · our read held Filip Jungman at 54.0%
102 points played in total.
H2H Filip Jungman 11–5 Kyryl Darin Kyryl Darin has won 5 of their 16 meetings.
The pick
Sealed 16:32Sent to Pro: Kyryl Darin @ 1.91 · Lost
54.0%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666
short by 6.0pp60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Jungman
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
11-5 in 16
Jungman
Correct
gap of 6 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jungman 1506 vs Darin 1628
Darin
Wrong
both rated, 122 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jungman 60% vs Darin 80%
Darin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jungman 70% vs Darin 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jungman +1 · Darin +4
Darin
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent when this read was sealed. The pick sent to Pro came from a re-read before the serve.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Jungman) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Darin form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJungman 1.666 / Darin 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Jungman)-6.0pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13263908
Jungman1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 26 days ago (Sep 13) · back after a break
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 35 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it100% 18 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it81% 25 of 31
Darin2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Oct 08)
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 175 of 417
Down 0–1, comes back20% 45 of 229
Down 0–2, comes back5% 7 of 141
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJungman7wins
AwayDarin3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderJungman leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJungman71.4%5 of 7
AwayDarin33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jungman7Darin3n = 10Jungman took 7 of 10
S2Jungman6Darin4n = 10Jungman took 6 of 10
S3Jungman4Darin6n = 10Darin took 6 of 10
S4Jungman5Darin4n = 9Jungman took 5 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJungmanDarinJ − DBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.636.4+3.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJungmanDarinBasisWin rate · lifetime100 / 180 vs 791 / 158655.6%49.9%100 / 180 vs 791 / 1586Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
DarinJungman 1.67/Darin 2.10
Miss
What we said
54%
Jungman · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Kyryl Darin @ 1.91 · Lost
The Pro pick went the other way, on a re-read before the serve.
What happened
3–2
Jungman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 13:05F. Jungman51111199113K. Darin4177111152
WSep 13 · 10:30F. Jungman3911116113K. Darin28851141
WSep 6 · 12:00F. Jungman46281113123K. Darin481111511102
LAug 16 · 18:00F. Jungman28118541K. Darin3741111113
WAug 15 · 17:00F. Jungman4491113113K. Darin391181191
LAug 15 · 14:00F. Jungman32712761K. Darin43111011113
LJul 21 · 07:00F. Jungman391111891K. Darin4381311113
WJun 28 · 22:00F. Jungman4211911113K. Darin31611591
WMay 17 · 13:30F. Jungman351113113K. Darin2461170
WMay 17 · 11:00F. Jungman4011117113K. Darin30491161
F. Jungman10
WSep 13 · 13:05F. Jungman1.55111199113K. Darin2.3077111152LSep 13 · 12:00T. Vinter1.361111113F. Jungman3.005790LSep 13 · 11:00J. Prokupek1.67511311113F. Jungman2.1011911982WSep 13 · 10:30F. Jungman1.7311116113K. Darin2.00851141WSep 12 · 21:30F. Jungman1.44119911113P. Fojt2.6391111592WSep 12 · 20:00P. Fojt2.108890F. Jungman1.671111113WSep 12 · 19:00F. Briza2.63511461F. Jungman1.4411611113WSep 12 · 18:30F. Jungman1.6771111113M. Placek2.10117991WSep 12 · 17:04F. Jungman1.601211113M. Fisera2.2010780LSep 12 · 16:00F. Jungman1.679211111A. Svoboda2.1011119133
K. Darin10
WOct 8 · 13:30K. Darin1.911211113R. Pavelka1.8010830WOct 8 · 12:30K. Darin1.9141111113J. Prokupek1.80115361WOct 8 · 11:00K. Darin1.80961111113J. Dedek1.9111117582WOct 8 · 10:00R. Pavelka1.446690K. Darin2.631111113LOct 7 · 13:30K. Darin2.2581190J. Trefny1.571113113WOct 7 · 12:30J. Trefny1.40881171K. Darin2.7511115113WOct 7 · 11:30K. Darin2.7511611113R. Pavelka1.40711721WOct 7 · 10:30J. Prokupek1.73991161K. Darin2.0011115113LSep 13 · 13:05F. Jungman1.55111199113K. Darin2.3077111152LSep 13 · 10:30F. Jungman1.7311116113K. Darin2.00851141
Upcoming Matches
F. Jungman
K. Darin
Oct 9 · 20:30K. Darin1.83J. Plachy1.83—Oct 9 · 22:30K. Darin1.44A. Svoboda2.63—Oct 9 · 23:30K. Darin2.00T. Dousa1.73—Oct 10 · 00:30K. Darin2.25A. Mikuska1.57—Oct 10 · 01:30K. Darin1.61J. Dedek2.20—Oct 10 · 18:00K. Darin1.80J. Dedek1.91—Oct 10 · 19:30K. Darin1.91L. Babicka1.80—Oct 10 · 20:00K. Darin1.80L. Krok1.91—
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.