TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Alexander Mikuska vs Milan Kolar 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 7Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1181012711113117
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:42 and never touched: 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeAlexander Mikuska to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingAlexander Mikuska above · Milan Kolar below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-3
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 91 set 5, 11-7 · our read held Alexander Mikuska at 63.7%
91 points played in total.
H2H Alexander Mikuska 13–9 Milan Kolar Milan Kolar has won 9 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:4263.7%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50
short by 3.0pp66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Mikuska
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
13-9 in 22
Mikuska
Correct
gap of 4 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mikuska 1509 vs Kolar 1443
Mikuska
Correct
both rated, 65 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mikuska 0% vs Kolar 40%
Kolar
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mikuska 30% vs Kolar 50%
Kolar
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mikuska -5 · Kolar +2
Mikuska
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% · Clear lean (leans Mikuska) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mikuska form (0%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMikuska 1.50 / Kolar 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Mikuska)-3.0pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13249435
Mikuska1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite75% won 44 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it100% 21 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it87% 32 of 37
Kolar2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 77 of 185
Down 0–1, comes back20% 17 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMikuska7wins
AwayKolar3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMikuska leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMikuska85.7%6 of 7
AwayKolar66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mikuska7Kolar3n = 10Mikuska took 7 of 10
S2Mikuska5Kolar5n = 10split evenly
S3Mikuska6Kolar4n = 10Mikuska took 6 of 10
S4Mikuska6Kolar1n = 7Mikuska took 6 of 7
S5Mikuska2Kolar2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMikuskaKolarM − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.035.6+3.4per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMikuskaKolarBasisWin rate · lifetime124 / 236 vs 410 / 82252.5%49.9%124 / 236 vs 410 / 822Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
MikuskaMikuska 1.50/Kolar 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.7%
Mikuska · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Mikuska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 7 · 00:00A. Mikuska501110711113M. Kolar4181211372
WSep 26 · 22:30A. Mikuska341211113M. Kolar2310940
LSep 12 · 23:00A. Mikuska25271151M. Kolar4111118113
WJul 5 · 03:30A. Mikuska511112511123M. Kolar491310115102
LJul 5 · 02:30A. Mikuska42111101462M. Kolar559111212113
WJun 27 · 23:00A. Mikuska331111113M. Kolar157620
WJun 26 · 01:30A. Mikuska3912115113M. Kolar341081151
LJun 15 · 23:00A. Mikuska3967121132M. Kolar501111107113
WJun 11 · 00:30A. Mikuska331111113M. Kolar185490
WMay 23 · 23:00A. Mikuska44111111113M. Kolar30713911
A. Mikuska10
LOct 6 · 23:00F. Briza2.501111113A. Mikuska1.505660LSep 27 · 02:59J. Plachy1.91149911113A. Mikuska1.80121111532LSep 27 · 01:30A. Mikuska1.8311851152J. Plachy1.83311119113LSep 27 · 00:30J. Dedek1.73141111113A. Mikuska2.00163371LSep 26 · 23:30T. Varnuska1.67911911113A. Mikuska2.1011511742WSep 26 · 22:30A. Mikuska1.611211113M. Kolar2.2010940LSep 20 · 03:28P. Fojt1.67311311113A. Mikuska2.1011711982WSep 20 · 01:30A. Mikuska1.50111011113K. Darin2.50412751LSep 20 · 00:30P. Fojt1.7331111113A. Mikuska2.00119641WSep 19 · 23:30J. Dedek1.50115451A. Mikuska2.5071111113
M. Kolar10
WOct 6 · 22:30A. Svoboda1.6141111982M. Kolar2.20114811113WOct 4 · 09:00D. Horak1.801051191M. Kolar1.9112117113LOct 4 · 08:30M. Kolar1.5371040F. Briza2.381112113LOct 4 · 07:00M. Kolar1.834650A. Svoboda1.831111113LOct 4 · 06:00D. Horak1.91491211113M. Kolar1.80111110252WOct 3 · 17:30D. Horak1.85117512102M. Kolar1.857111110123WOct 3 · 16:00K. Darin2.7561230M. Kolar1.401114113LOct 3 · 15:00D. Horak2.251211113M. Kolar1.5710790WOct 3 · 14:30M. Kolar1.531116113F. Briza2.3861470LSep 26 · 22:30A. Mikuska1.611211113M. Kolar2.2010940
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.