TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jiri Plachy vs Alexander Mikuska 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1412911911115113
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingJiri Plachy above · Alexander Mikuska below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-3
Point 96 set 5, 11-3
96 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Plachy 5–3 Alexander Mikuska Alexander Mikuska has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Plachy beat Mikuska 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mikuska)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mikuska form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlachy 1.91 / Mikuska 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Mikuska)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13204801
Plachy1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 138 of 336
Down 0–1, comes back22% 41 of 190
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 103
Mikuska1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite76% won 44 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it100% 20 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it87% 32 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomePlachy5wins
AwayMikuska3wins
2 of 8 to a deciderPlachy leads 5–3, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlachy75%3 of 4
AwayMikuska50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Plachy4Mikuska4n = 8split evenly
S2Plachy4Mikuska4n = 8split evenly
S3Plachy7Mikuska1n = 8Plachy took 7 of 8
S4Plachy1Mikuska4n = 5Mikuska took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home338%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away338%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricPlachyMikuskaP − MBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match35.534.8+0.7per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlachyMikuskaBasisWin rate · lifetime734 / 1589 vs 123 / 23746.2%51.9%734 / 1589 vs 123 / 237Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MikuskaPlachy 1.91/Mikuska 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Mikuska · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Plachy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 27 · 01:30J. Plachy45311119113A. Mikuska4011851152
LJul 15 · 01:30J. Plachy311141061A. Mikuska4281112113
LMay 30 · 22:30J. Plachy399911101A. Mikuska4311119123
LMay 15 · 22:30J. Plachy17211131A. Mikuska3811115113
WApr 21 · 00:00J. Plachy331111113A. Mikuska249870
WJan 25 · 00:00J. Plachy491151111113A. Mikuska4513116962
WOct 2 · 01:30J. Plachy331111113A. Mikuska215790
WJul 3 · 23:00J. Plachy371111153A. Mikuska2584130
J. Plachy10
LSep 27 · 02:30J. Plachy1.91951191T. Varnuska1.8011116113WSep 27 · 01:30A. Mikuska1.8311851152J. Plachy1.83311119113WSep 27 · 00:00J. Plachy1.441111113M. Kolar2.638590LSep 26 · 23:00J. Dedek1.9111119113J. Plachy1.80881181LSep 26 · 17:30J. Stolfa1.40711116113J. Plachy2.7511681172LSep 26 · 16:00J. Stolfa1.441111113J. Plachy2.633690WSep 26 · 15:00M. Kolar2.5085111192J. Plachy1.50111148113WSep 26 · 14:30J. Plachy1.80119118113J. Dedek1.9131191192WSep 23 · 13:28K. Darin2.2581191162J. Plachy1.57119119113LSep 23 · 12:30K. Darin2.38101111113J. Plachy1.53128851
A. Mikuska10
LSep 27 · 01:30A. Mikuska1.8311851152J. Plachy1.83311119113LSep 27 · 00:30J. Dedek1.73141111113A. Mikuska2.00163371LSep 26 · 23:30T. Varnuska1.67911911113A. Mikuska2.1011511742WSep 26 · 22:30A. Mikuska1.611211113M. Kolar2.2010940LSep 20 · 03:28P. Fojt1.67311311113A. Mikuska2.1011711982WSep 20 · 01:30A. Mikuska1.50111011113K. Darin2.50412751LSep 20 · 00:30P. Fojt1.7331111113A. Mikuska2.00119641WSep 19 · 23:30J. Dedek1.50115451A. Mikuska2.5071111113WSep 19 · 22:30A. Mikuska1.5391111113Y. Holovatiuk2.38112291WSep 13 · 02:58A. Mikuska1.531111113M. Placek2.386950
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