TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Milan Kolar vs Adam Svoboda 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411611511––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:53 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMilan Kolar to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMilan Kolar above · Adam Svoboda below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 48 set 3, 5-11 · our read held Milan Kolar at 54.0%
48 points played in total.
H2H Milan Kolar 4–6 Adam Svoboda Milan Kolar has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:5354.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833
short by 0.6pp54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Svoboda
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
4-6 in 10
Svoboda
Correct
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolar 1445 vs Svoboda 1434
Kolar
Wrong
both rated, 12 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolar 60% vs Svoboda 80%
Svoboda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolar 60% vs Svoboda 40%
Kolar
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolar -1 · Svoboda +3
Svoboda
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Kolar) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svoboda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolar 1.833 / Svoboda 1.833
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kolar)-0.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13237717
Kolar1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Svoboda1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolar4wins
AwaySvoboda6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSvoboda leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolar100%3 of 3
AwaySvoboda85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolar3Svoboda7n = 10Svoboda took 7 of 10
S2Kolar5Svoboda5n = 10split evenly
S3Kolar6Svoboda4n = 10Kolar took 6 of 10
S4Kolar2Svoboda4n = 6Svoboda took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolarSvobodaK − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match32.133.6−1.5per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolarSvobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime409 / 822 vs 194 / 37549.8%51.7%409 / 822 vs 194 / 375Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KolarKolar 1.83/Svoboda 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kolar · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Svoboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 4 · 07:00M. Kolar154650A. Svoboda331111113
LOct 3 · 13:30M. Kolar323101181A. Svoboda3811124113
WOct 3 · 11:00M. Kolar45411118113A. Svoboda3911831162
LSep 13 · 02:00M. Kolar361071181A. Svoboda4312119113
LSep 12 · 17:29M. Kolar4171151172A. Svoboda44113118113
WSep 12 · 14:30M. Kolar3811511113A. Svoboda32411891
WAug 8 · 00:00M. Kolar331111113A. Svoboda189450
WJul 18 · 01:00M. Kolar331111113A. Svoboda148060
LJun 6 · 00:00M. Kolar163850A. Svoboda331111113
LMay 30 · 02:00M. Kolar32611961A. Svoboda4211911113
M. Kolar10
LOct 4 · 06:00D. Horak1.91491211113M. Kolar1.80111110252WOct 3 · 17:30D. Horak1.85117512102M. Kolar1.857111110123WOct 3 · 16:00K. Darin2.7561230M. Kolar1.401114113LOct 3 · 15:00D. Horak2.251211113M. Kolar1.5710790WOct 3 · 14:30M. Kolar1.531116113F. Briza2.3861470LOct 3 · 13:30A. Svoboda2.1011124113M. Kolar1.653101181WOct 3 · 12:30M. Kolar1.53131188123F. Briza2.381131111102WOct 3 · 11:00M. Kolar1.61411118113A. Svoboda2.2011831162LOct 3 · 10:00D. Horak2.201111133M. Kolar1.6144110WOct 2 · 13:30M. Kolar1.8091111113L. Malek1.91118981
A. Svoboda10
WOct 4 · 06:30A. Svoboda1.731111113F. Briza2.002450WOct 3 · 13:30A. Svoboda2.1011124113M. Kolar1.653101181WOct 3 · 12:00D. Horak1.91119841A. Svoboda1.8041111113LOct 3 · 11:00M. Kolar1.61411118113A. Svoboda2.2011831162WOct 3 · 10:30A. Svoboda1.73912911113F. Briza2.00111011272LOct 1 · 01:30A. Svoboda2.20561161J. Didi1.6111119113LOct 1 · 00:30R. Bartunek2.63121174113A. Svoboda1.44107111182LSep 30 · 23:30O. Fejtek1.801120113A. Svoboda1.9161830LSep 30 · 22:30A. Svoboda1.5391211101V. Kosar2.3811146123LSep 28 · 13:28L. Malek1.5312811113A. Svoboda2.381011781
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