TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Serhii Ponomarenko vs Igor Shyndel 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117119118––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:28 and never touched: 92.4% is still 92.4%
Graded at full timeSerhii Ponomarenko to win
92.4%
92.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Ponomarenko above · Igor Shyndel below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 57 set 3, 11-8 · our read held Serhii Ponomarenko at 92.4%
57 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Ponomarenko 63–3 Igor Shyndel Igor Shyndel has won 3 of their 66 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:2892.4%Our read97.1%to break even at 1.03
short by 4.7pp97.1% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.03 they are the same number)
What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.03 (91%)
Ponomarenko
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
63-3 in 66
Ponomarenko
Correct
gap of 60 in 66, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ponomarenko 1998 vs Shyndel 1852
Ponomarenko
Correct
both rated, 146 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ponomarenko 100% vs Shyndel 40%
Ponomarenko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ponomarenko 60% vs Shyndel 40%
Ponomarenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ponomarenko +6 · Shyndel -1
Ponomarenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 92% · Strong (leans Ponomarenko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shyndel form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (10%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPonomarenko 1.03 / Shyndel 10.00
Signal prob.92% / 8%
Edge (Ponomarenko)-4.7pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13270930
Ponomarenko1.03
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite86% won 281 of 328
Up 2–0, closes it99% 181 of 183
Up 1–0, closes it94% 230 of 245
Shyndel10.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog32% won 14 of 44
Down 0–1, comes back4% 1 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePonomarenko10wins
AwayShyndel0wins
Ponomarenko leads 10–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePonomarenko100%9 of 9
AwayShyndeln = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ponomarenko9Shyndel1n = 10Ponomarenko took 9 of 10
S2Ponomarenko8Shyndel2n = 10Ponomarenko took 8 of 10
S3Ponomarenko10Shyndel0n = 10Ponomarenko took 10 of 10
S4Ponomarenko3Shyndel0n = 3Ponomarenko took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home770%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPonomarenkoShyndelP − SBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match36.724.9+11.8per matchSweeps70+73–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPonomarenkoShyndelBasisWin rate · lifetime801 / 892 vs 129 / 28289.8%45.7%801 / 892 vs 129 / 282Avg sets wonper match2.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.335.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PonomarenkoPonomarenko 1.03/Shyndel 10.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
92.4%
Ponomarenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Ponomarenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 26 · 05:30S. Ponomarenko331111113I. Shyndel168530
WSep 19 · 10:04S. Ponomarenko331111113I. Shyndel219660
WSep 19 · 05:30S. Ponomarenko341112113I. Shyndel2691070
WJul 18 · 05:30S. Ponomarenko4111712113I. Shyndel345111081
WJul 17 · 06:00S. Ponomarenko331111113I. Shyndel176560
WJun 20 · 07:00S. Ponomarenko341211113I. Shyndel2010190
WMay 17 · 13:30S. Ponomarenko371115113I. Shyndel2661370
WMay 16 · 10:29S. Ponomarenko4291111113I. Shyndel33119941
WMay 16 · 07:00S. Ponomarenko46121211113I. Shyndel351014651
WFeb 15 · 06:30S. Ponomarenko341112113I. Shyndel2131080
S. Ponomarenko10
WOct 10 · 07:00S. Ponomarenko1.031111113S. Kushnirenko10.006860WOct 10 · 06:00S. Ponomarenko1.061115113D. Kryshtal8.0071350WOct 8 · 10:04S. Ponomarenko1.251111810113R. Horokh3.7558111262WOct 8 · 09:00S. Ponomarenko1.0612111213113D. Kryshtal8.00143141182WOct 8 · 08:00V. Komar8.5091150S. Ponomarenko1.051113113WOct 8 · 07:00S. Kiilo10.50116561S. Ponomarenko1.0251111113LOct 8 · 05:30R. Horokh4.3311511113S. Ponomarenko1.20811871LOct 1 · 03:25A. Chepurnyi3.001110119123S. Ponomarenko1.36612911102LOct 1 · 02:25S. Ponomarenko1.0213126682E. Rubtsov10.5011101111113LOct 1 · 01:25S. Ponomarenko1.0712671172O. Mishchenko7.501011114113
I. Shyndel10
LOct 10 · 07:30I. Shyndel2.205980D. Kryshtal1.611111113WOct 10 · 06:30V. Komar2.50441241I. Shyndel1.50111110113WOct 10 · 05:30I. Shyndel1.83111111113S. Kushnirenko1.83813551LOct 9 · 16:30I. Shyndel1.8011511532S. Balabei1.91511711113LOct 9 · 15:30I. Shyndel2.0051750D. Kryshtal1.731119113LOct 9 · 14:00I. Shyndel1.53811114102V. Komar2.38118711123LOct 9 · 13:00I. Shyndel1.67911581S. Kushnirenko2.1011811113WSep 30 · 10:08S. Kiilo4.50711941I. Shyndel1.1711611113WSep 30 · 08:30V. Komar2.63119156102I. Shyndel1.443111311123LSep 30 · 07:30I. Shyndel2.0011108111R. Horokh1.7341211133
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