TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vadim Komar vs Igor Shyndel 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
4114111210411––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:54 and never touched: 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeIgor Shyndel to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
RightSent to Pro: Igor Shyndel @ 1.50 · Won
How it is goingVadim Komar above · Igor Shyndel below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 67 set 4, 4-11 · our read held Igor Shyndel at 60.9%
67 points played in total.
H2H Vadim Komar 22–53 Igor Shyndel Vadim Komar has won 22 of their 75 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pick
Sealed 05:54Sent to Pro: Igor Shyndel @ 1.50 · Won
60.9%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50
short by 5.8pp66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Shyndel
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
22-53 in 75
Shyndel
Correct
gap of 31 in 75, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Komar 1857 vs Shyndel 1866
Shyndel
Correct
both rated, 10 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Komar 60% vs Shyndel 20%
Komar
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Komar 50% vs Shyndel 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Komar +1 · Shyndel +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent when this read was sealed. The pick sent to Pro came from a re-read before the serve.
Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Shyndel) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shyndel form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKomar 2.50 / Shyndel 1.50
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Shyndel)-5.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13270484
Komar2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 70 of 160
Down 0–1, comes back27% 26 of 98
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 58
Shyndel1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 43 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it95% 19 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it78% 32 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKomar5wins
AwayShyndel5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKomar83.3%5 of 6
AwayShyndel100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Komar6Shyndel4n = 10Komar took 6 of 10
S2Komar4Shyndel6n = 10Shyndel took 6 of 10
S3Komar7Shyndel3n = 10Komar took 7 of 10
S4Komar2Shyndel4n = 6Shyndel took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKomarShyndelK − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.735.2+0.5per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKomarShyndelBasisWin rate · lifetime238 / 615 vs 129 / 28138.7%45.9%238 / 615 vs 129 / 281Avg sets wonper match1.71.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.235.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ShyndelKomar 2.50/Shyndel 1.50
Hit
What we said
60.9%
Shyndel · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Igor Shyndel @ 1.50 · Won
What happened
1–3
Shyndel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 10 · 06:30V. Komar24441241I. Shyndel43111110113
WOct 9 · 14:00V. Komar49118711123I. Shyndel44811114102
LSep 30 · 08:30V. Komar51119156102I. Shyndel503111311123
WSep 26 · 10:28V. Komar331111113I. Shyndel158340
LSep 26 · 08:30V. Komar347111151I. Shyndel4411913113
WSep 19 · 09:00V. Komar331111113I. Shyndel238960
WAug 23 · 09:00V. Komar4211713113I. Shyndel366111181
WAug 22 · 13:00V. Komar351113113I. Shyndel2251160
LAug 16 · 10:03V. Komar2349100I. Shyndel341111123
LAug 16 · 09:00V. Komar33591181I. Shyndel4111118113
V. Komar10
WOct 10 · 05:00V. Komar2.3891112113D. Kryshtal1.531151031LOct 9 · 17:34V. Komar1.8012711542S. Balabei1.911011911103LOct 9 · 16:00V. Komar1.80111111572S. Kushnirenko1.91513611113WOct 9 · 15:00S. Balabei1.6111471192V. Komar2.20911115113WOct 9 · 14:00I. Shyndel1.53811114102V. Komar2.38118711123LOct 9 · 12:30D. Kryshtal1.5311117113V. Komar2.38961191WOct 8 · 10:33D. Kryshtal1.618790V. Komar2.201111113WOct 8 · 09:30S. Kiilo3.009111171V. Komar1.3611813113LOct 8 · 08:00V. Komar8.5091150S. Ponomarenko1.051113113LOct 8 · 06:30V. Komar2.7546110R. Horokh1.401111133
I. Shyndel10
WOct 10 · 05:30I. Shyndel1.83111111113S. Kushnirenko1.83813551LOct 9 · 16:30I. Shyndel1.8011511532S. Balabei1.91511711113LOct 9 · 15:30I. Shyndel2.0051750D. Kryshtal1.731119113LOct 9 · 14:00I. Shyndel1.53811114102V. Komar2.38118711123LOct 9 · 13:00I. Shyndel1.67911581S. Kushnirenko2.1011811113WSep 30 · 10:08S. Kiilo4.50711941I. Shyndel1.1711611113WSep 30 · 08:30V. Komar2.63119156102I. Shyndel1.443111311123LSep 30 · 07:30I. Shyndel2.0011108111R. Horokh1.7341211133LSep 30 · 06:30D. Kryshtal1.7311118113I. Shyndel2.00661171WSep 30 · 05:30I. Shyndel1.201113113S. Kiilo4.3351150
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.