TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Seliuchenko vs Oleksandr Zhyrnov 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115116611118––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:41 and never touched: 65.8% is still 65.8%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Seliuchenko to win
65.8%
65.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Seliuchenko above · Oleksandr Zhyrnov below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 69 set 4, 11-8 · our read held Oleksandr Seliuchenko at 65.8%
69 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Seliuchenko 9–2 Oleksandr Zhyrnov Oleksandr Zhyrnov has won 2 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:4165.8%Our read69.3%to break even at 1.444
short by 3.5pp69.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.444 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Seliuchenko
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
9-2 in 11
Seliuchenko
Correct
gap of 7 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Seliuchenko 1647 vs Zhyrnov 1675
Zhyrnov
Wrong
both rated, 28 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Seliuchenko 80% vs Zhyrnov 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Seliuchenko 50% vs Zhyrnov 70%
Zhyrnov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Seliuchenko +2 · Zhyrnov +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% · Clear lean (leans Seliuchenko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zhyrnov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSeliuchenko 1.444 / Zhyrnov 2.625
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Seliuchenko)-3.5pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13270893
Seliuchenko1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 78 of 134
Up 2–0, closes it97% 35 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it75% 57 of 76
Zhyrnov2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 57 of 134
Down 0–1, comes back23% 17 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSeliuchenko8wins
AwayZhyrnov2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSeliuchenko leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSeliuchenko87.5%7 of 8
AwayZhyrnovn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Seliuchenko8Zhyrnov2n = 10Seliuchenko took 8 of 10
S2Seliuchenko7Zhyrnov3n = 10Seliuchenko took 7 of 10
S3Seliuchenko6Zhyrnov4n = 10Seliuchenko took 6 of 10
S4Seliuchenko3Zhyrnov4n = 7Zhyrnov took 4 of 7
S5Seliuchenko3Zhyrnov1n = 4Seliuchenko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSeliuchenkoZhyrnovS − ZBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match40.634.2+6.4per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSeliuchenkoZhyrnovBasisWin rate · lifetime192 / 338 vs 392 / 78056.8%50.3%192 / 338 vs 392 / 780Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SeliuchenkoSeliuchenko 1.44/Zhyrnov 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.8%
Seliuchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Seliuchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 10 · 06:50O. Seliuchenko3911116113O. Zhyrnov30561181
WSep 26 · 05:50O. Seliuchenko49611129113O. Zhyrnov43116101152
WSep 24 · 14:00O. Seliuchenko381611113O. Zhyrnov3014880
WJun 18 · 16:50O. Seliuchenko331111113O. Zhyrnov153480
LJun 6 · 10:58O. Seliuchenko4611981442O. Zhyrnov505111112113
WJun 6 · 09:20O. Seliuchenko4111811113O. Zhyrnov30711481
WMay 8 · 09:50O. Seliuchenko50111189113O. Zhyrnov3829111152
WMar 16 · 21:50O. Seliuchenko46111167113O. Zhyrnov4069111132
LFeb 23 · 21:20O. Seliuchenko314411121O. Zhyrnov4511119143
WFeb 20 · 17:10O. Seliuchenko331111113O. Zhyrnov218760
O. Seliuchenko10
WOct 9 · 16:09A. Derevianko2.001510101172O. Seliuchenko1.731312128113WOct 9 · 15:10O. Seliuchenko1.441112123O. Strutinskiy2.63910100LOct 9 · 14:10O. Seliuchenko1.571151071A. Derevianko2.2571112113WOct 9 · 12:40O. Seliuchenko1.611111123I. Nitchenko2.2078100WOct 9 · 11:40O. Seliuchenko1.501111113A. Nazarov2.505560LOct 2 · 15:40O. Seliuchenko2.6381290V. Marushchak1.441114103LOct 2 · 14:40O. Seliuchenko2.00811131282A. Hrabskyi1.731151114113LOct 2 · 13:10O. Seliuchenko2.00126116102V. Savoliuk1.731011811123LOct 2 · 11:10O. Seliuchenko2.3811511572A. Lievshin1.53711911113WOct 1 · 18:30A. Derevianko2.381311881O. Seliuchenko1.5315811113
O. Zhyrnov10
WOct 10 · 05:50O. Kuzyshyn2.10101111872O. Zhyrnov1.67123511113WOct 7 · 17:10O. Zhyrnov1.33131311113V. Ishchuk3.251115341LOct 7 · 15:10O. Kuzyshyn2.101211133O. Zhyrnov1.65108110WOct 7 · 14:10O. Zhyrnov1.4011117113Y. Holoborodko2.75731181WOct 7 · 13:10V. Maksuta1.8310870O. Zhyrnov1.831211113WOct 7 · 11:40O. Zhyrnov1.5011118113A. Zozulia2.50891161WOct 6 · 12:50O. Zhyrnov2.0011118123E. Hrytsenko1.738811101LOct 6 · 10:50I. Nitchenko1.611151111113O. Zhyrnov2.2061113742LOct 6 · 08:50M. Mrykh1.611111113O. Zhyrnov2.208880WOct 6 · 07:50O. Zhyrnov3.259111110113O. Strutinskiy1.3311841292
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.