TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Seliuchenko vs Andrii Hrabskyi 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
81111513111214811
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:33 and never touched: 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeAndrii Hrabskyi to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Seliuchenko above · Andrii Hrabskyi below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 12-14
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 104 set 5, 8-11 · our read held Andrii Hrabskyi at 54.5%
104 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Seliuchenko 9–9 Andrii Hrabskyi Dead even across their 18 meetings.
Last 10 · 3–7Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:3354.5%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 3.4pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Hrabskyi
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
9-9 in 18
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Seliuchenko 1592 vs Hrabskyi 1637
Hrabskyi
Correct
both rated, 46 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Seliuchenko 20% vs Hrabskyi 60%
Hrabskyi
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Seliuchenko 30% vs Hrabskyi 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Seliuchenko -2 · Hrabskyi +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% · Coin-flip (leans Hrabskyi) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Seliuchenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSeliuchenko 2.00 / Hrabskyi 1.727
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Hrabskyi)-3.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13229222
Seliuchenko2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog52% won 43 of 83
Down 0–1, comes back35% 16 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back12% 3 of 26
Hrabskyi1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 67 of 117
Up 2–0, closes it97% 36 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it81% 55 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSeliuchenko3wins
AwayHrabskyi7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHrabskyi leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSeliuchenko66.7%2 of 3
AwayHrabskyi85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Seliuchenko3Hrabskyi7n = 10Hrabskyi took 7 of 10
S2Seliuchenko5Hrabskyi5n = 10split evenly
S3Seliuchenko2Hrabskyi8n = 10Hrabskyi took 8 of 10
S4Seliuchenko3Hrabskyi4n = 7Hrabskyi took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSeliuchenkoHrabskyiS − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.639.7−4.1per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSeliuchenkoHrabskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime187 / 330 vs 248 / 57156.7%43.4%187 / 330 vs 248 / 571Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
HrabskyiSeliuchenko 2.00/Hrabskyi 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Hrabskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hrabskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 17:10O. Seliuchenko2312830A. Hrabskyi361411113
LSep 15 · 18:30O. Seliuchenko338113111A. Hrabskyi4311811133
LSep 11 · 17:10O. Seliuchenko216690A. Hrabskyi331111113
WSep 9 · 05:50O. Seliuchenko4171211113A. Hrabskyi351110861
WSep 1 · 12:00O. Seliuchenko531111911113A. Hrabskyi4561311692
LAug 26 · 10:50O. Seliuchenko30114781A. Hrabskyi4291111113
LAug 25 · 12:00O. Seliuchenko388118111A. Hrabskyi4011511133
WAug 19 · 11:20O. Seliuchenko3711114113A. Hrabskyi33591181
LAug 18 · 16:00O. Seliuchenko5481119972A. Hrabskyi561161711113
LAug 12 · 12:20O. Seliuchenko2697100A. Hrabskyi341111123
O. Seliuchenko10
LOct 2 · 13:10O. Seliuchenko2.00126116102V. Savoliuk1.731011811123LOct 2 · 11:10O. Seliuchenko2.3811511572A. Lievshin1.53711911113WOct 1 · 18:30A. Derevianko2.381311881O. Seliuchenko1.5315811113LOct 1 · 17:30O. Strutinskiy2.751111113O. Seliuchenko1.409870LOct 1 · 16:00A. Nazarov2.381111113O. Seliuchenko1.538890LOct 1 · 14:00V. Savoliuk1.671181311143O. Seliuchenko2.10311155122WOct 1 · 12:00Y. Riadynskyi2.0011113982O. Seliuchenko1.73671111113WSep 26 · 11:50O. Seliuchenko1.781111113M. Mrykh1.924490LSep 26 · 10:20O. Seliuchenko1.53761181A. Derevianko2.3811117113LSep 26 · 08:50O. Seliuchenko1.8381111752M. Deineha1.83118611113
A. Hrabskyi10
WOct 2 · 12:40V. Marushchak1.50101070A. Hrabskyi2.501212113WSep 30 · 12:20A. Hrabskyi1.731361410113M. Deineha2.001111121222LSep 30 · 10:20O. Kolbasenko1.4411512113A. Hrabskyi2.636111091WSep 30 · 09:20A. Hrabskyi3.251110611143A. Lievshin1.33612119122LSep 30 · 08:20A. Yurkov1.8091111113A. Hrabskyi1.91118891LSep 30 · 06:50A. Hrabskyi1.8078171142P. Plakushchyi1.911111158113LSep 29 · 15:30V. Marushchak1.571311113A. Hrabskyi2.2511290LSep 29 · 14:30A. Hrabskyi2.00811911112A. Yurkov1.73117117133LSep 29 · 13:30A. Lievshin1.331111113A. Hrabskyi3.259860WSep 29 · 12:30A. Hrabskyi1.839111111113P. Plakushchyi1.8311761352
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