TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Andrii Hrabskyi vs Maksym Deineha 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
131161114121012112
Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:16 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAndrii Hrabskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Hrabskyi above · Maksym Deineha below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 11-2
Point 102 set 5, 11-2 · our read held Andrii Hrabskyi at 54.0%
102 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Hrabskyi 1–0 Maksym Deineha Maksym Deineha has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:1654.0%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 3.9pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Hrabskyi
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Hrabskyi 1603 vs Deineha 1662
Deineha
Wrong
both rated, 59 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrabskyi 20% vs Deineha 0%
Hrabskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrabskyi 40% vs Deineha 10%
Hrabskyi
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrabskyi -1 · Deineha -7
Deineha
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Hrabskyi) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Deineha form (0%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrabskyi 1.727 / Deineha 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hrabskyi)-3.9pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13218838
Hrabskyi1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 66 of 115
Up 2–0, closes it97% 36 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it81% 54 of 67
Deineha2.00
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 7
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 18 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back35% 9 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back25% 3 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeHrabskyi1wins
AwayDeineha0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderHrabskyi leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricHrabskyiDeinehaH − DBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match64.060.0+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrabskyiDeinehaBasisWin rate · lifetime246 / 569 vs 53 / 9443.2%56.4%246 / 569 vs 53 / 94Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.039.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
HrabskyiHrabskyi 1.73/Deineha 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Hrabskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hrabskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 28 · 18:30A. Hrabskyi6411111112193M. Deineha60713914172
A. Hrabskyi10
LSep 30 · 10:20O. Kolbasenko1.4411512113A. Hrabskyi2.636111091WSep 30 · 09:20A. Hrabskyi3.251110611143A. Lievshin1.33612119122LSep 30 · 08:20A. Yurkov1.8091111113A. Hrabskyi1.91118891LSep 30 · 06:50A. Hrabskyi1.8078171142P. Plakushchyi1.911111158113LSep 29 · 15:30V. Marushchak1.571311113A. Hrabskyi2.2511290LSep 29 · 14:30A. Hrabskyi2.00811911112A. Yurkov1.73117117133LSep 29 · 13:30A. Lievshin1.331111113A. Hrabskyi3.259860WSep 29 · 12:30A. Hrabskyi1.839111111113P. Plakushchyi1.8311761352WSep 28 · 18:30M. Deineha1.91713914172A. Hrabskyi1.8011111112193WSep 28 · 17:30A. Yurkov1.83121511872A. Hrabskyi1.831017911113
M. Deineha10
LSep 30 · 11:20A. Lievshin1.406151111113M. Deineha2.7511175662LSep 30 · 09:50A. Yurkov1.4010111110113M. Deineha2.7512671262LSep 30 · 07:50P. Plakushchyi2.00111511113M. Deineha1.73617771LSep 30 · 05:50O. Kolbasenko1.801111113M. Deineha1.917350LSep 28 · 18:30M. Deineha1.91713914172A. Hrabskyi1.8011111112193LSep 28 · 16:30Y. Shmyndra1.671211110113M. Deineha2.10101161252LSep 28 · 15:30M. Deineha2.005870A. Yurkov1.731111113WSep 28 · 14:30P. Plakushchyi1.91111410101M. Deineha1.80131212123LSep 28 · 13:00M. Deineha2.50811951A. Lievshin1.5011811113LSep 26 · 12:50M. Deineha1.911111831V. Savoliuk1.8081311113
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