TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Maksym Deineha vs Anatolii Lievshin 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811118911511––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:47 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeAnatolii Lievshin to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaksym Deineha above · Anatolii Lievshin below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 74 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Anatolii Lievshin at 58.1%
74 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Deineha 0–1 Anatolii Lievshin Maksym Deineha has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:47What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Lievshin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Deineha 1770 vs Lievshin 1666
Deineha
Wrong
both rated, 104 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Deineha 60% vs Lievshin 40%
Deineha
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Deineha 70% vs Lievshin 50%
Deineha
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Deineha -1 · Lievshin +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Lievshin) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lievshin form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDeineha 2.50 / Lievshin 1.50
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Lievshin)-4.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13208145
Deineha2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 26)
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog53% won 18 of 34
Down 0–1, comes back41% 9 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back27% 3 of 11
Lievshin1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 25)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 129 of 220
Up 2–0, closes it94% 64 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it83% 100 of 120
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeDeineha0wins
AwayLievshin1wins
Lievshin leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricDeinehaLievshinD − LBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match21.033.0−12.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDeinehaLievshinBasisWin rate · lifetime52 / 85 vs 196 / 35561.2%55.2%52 / 85 vs 196 / 355Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.638.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LievshinDeineha 2.50/Lievshin 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.1%
Lievshin · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Lievshin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJul 11 · 07:20M. Deineha218490A. Lievshin331111113
M. Deineha10
LSep 26 · 12:50M. Deineha1.911111831V. Savoliuk1.8081311113WSep 26 · 10:50M. Mrykh2.3871111662M. Deineha1.53118811113WSep 26 · 08:50O. Seliuchenko1.8381111752M. Deineha1.83118611113WSep 26 · 07:50M. Deineha1.831111123O. Zhyrnov1.8355100LSep 26 · 06:50A. Derevianko2.1011115113M. Deineha1.67381171WSep 18 · 19:00O. Strutinskiy2.10101181192M. Deineha1.67128116113WSep 18 · 17:30M. Deineha1.441111193E. Hrytsenko2.6399170LSep 18 · 15:30A. Derevianko2.00117811123M. Deineha1.73611114102WSep 18 · 13:30I. Nitchenko2.75631191M. Deineha1.4011118113WSep 18 · 12:30A. Nazarov2.001011781M. Deineha1.7312811113
A. Lievshin10
WSep 25 · 17:40P. Plakushchyi3.0081140A. Lievshin1.361113113LSep 25 · 16:24A. Lievshin1.83128571Y. Shmyndra1.83101111113LSep 25 · 14:10Y. Shmyndra1.911451212113A. Lievshin1.801211141052LSep 25 · 12:10V. Voronenko2.101111610113A. Lievshin1.6779111242WSep 25 · 11:10A. Hrabskyi3.00116811112A. Lievshin1.36711119133WSep 23 · 10:50V. Chornobab2.0010880A. Lievshin1.731211113WSep 23 · 08:50O. Kolbasenko1.4011810101A. Lievshin2.7581112123LSep 23 · 07:50A. Lievshin1.339111091A. Hrabskyi3.2511412113LSep 23 · 06:50O. Belskyi1.8391111113A. Lievshin1.83113931WSep 22 · 19:00A. Yurkov2.1039111172A. Lievshin1.67111145113
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