TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Maksym Deineha vs Volodymyr Savoliuk 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1181113811311––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:45 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMaksym Deineha to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMaksym Deineha above · Volodymyr Savoliuk below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 76 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Maksym Deineha at 54.0%
76 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Deineha 2–3 Volodymyr Savoliuk Maksym Deineha has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:45What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Savoliuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Deineha 1791 vs Savoliuk 1680
Deineha
Wrong
both rated, 111 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Deineha 80% vs Savoliuk 20%
Deineha
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Deineha 80% vs Savoliuk 50%
Deineha
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Deineha +3 · Savoliuk -1
Deineha
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Deineha)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Savoliuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDeineha 1.91 / Savoliuk 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Deineha)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13196859
Deineha1.91
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog55% won 18 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back41% 9 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back27% 3 of 11
Savoliuk1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite67% won 131 of 195
Up 2–0, closes it93% 65 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it83% 94 of 113
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeDeineha2wins
AwaySavoliuk3wins
1 of 5 to a deciderSavoliuk leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDeinehan = 1, below the 3 needed
AwaySavoliuk75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Deineha1Savoliuk4n = 5Savoliuk took 4 of 5
S2Deineha2Savoliuk3n = 5Savoliuk took 3 of 5
S3Deineha0Savoliuk5n = 5Savoliuk took 5 of 5
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away360%
These 5 meetings
MetricDeinehaSavoliukD − SBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match33.037.0−4.0per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDeinehaSavoliukBasisWin rate · lifetime52 / 84 vs 303 / 53761.9%56.4%52 / 84 vs 303 / 537Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.738.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DeinehaDeineha 1.91/Savoliuk 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Deineha · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Savoliuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 11 · 06:50M. Deineha4111118113V. Savoliuk37991181
WSep 10 · 19:00M. Deineha45311911113V. Savoliuk4411711872
LAug 24 · 12:30M. Deineha258980V. Savoliuk331111113
LAug 14 · 17:00M. Deineha2878130V. Savoliuk371111153
LAug 10 · 13:00M. Deineha2671090V. Savoliuk341112113
M. Deineha10
WSep 26 · 10:50M. Mrykh2.3871111662M. Deineha1.53118811113WSep 26 · 08:50O. Seliuchenko1.8381111752M. Deineha1.83118611113WSep 26 · 07:50M. Deineha1.831111123O. Zhyrnov1.8355100LSep 26 · 06:50A. Derevianko2.1011115113M. Deineha1.67381171WSep 18 · 19:00O. Strutinskiy2.10101181192M. Deineha1.67128116113WSep 18 · 17:30M. Deineha1.441111193E. Hrytsenko2.6399170LSep 18 · 15:30A. Derevianko2.00117811123M. Deineha1.73611114102WSep 18 · 13:30I. Nitchenko2.75631191M. Deineha1.4011118113WSep 18 · 12:30A. Nazarov2.001011781M. Deineha1.7312811113WSep 14 · 18:30M. Deineha1.6714111111113O. Strutinskiy2.1016134782
V. Savoliuk10
LSep 26 · 11:20V. Savoliuk1.44811118132O. Zhyrnov2.63118411153WSep 26 · 09:20A. Derevianko2.25111111072V. Savoliuk1.57711412113LSep 26 · 07:20O. Seliuchenko2.20711911113V. Savoliuk1.6111711482LSep 26 · 06:20M. Mrykh1.91116129113V. Savoliuk1.80911101182LSep 24 · 19:00O. Zhyrnov2.7511119123V. Savoliuk1.409611101WSep 24 · 17:30V. Savoliuk1.67911117113O. Seliuchenko2.1011881182WSep 24 · 15:30O. Strutinskiy2.756612121V. Savoliuk1.40111110143WSep 24 · 13:30A. Derevianko2.20119971V. Savoliuk1.6181111113LSep 24 · 12:30M. Mrykh2.00511119113V. Savoliuk1.7311661192WSep 22 · 12:20O. Strutinskiy2.75511961V. Savoliuk1.4011511113
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