TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Volodymyr Savoliuk vs Oleksandr Seliuchenko 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Volodymyr Savoliuk
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911118118711118
Oleksandr Seliuchenko
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:12 and never touched — 59.0% is still 59.0%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Savoliuk to win
59.0%
59.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Savoliuk above · Oleksandr Seliuchenko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 95 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Volodymyr Savoliuk at 59.0%
95 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Savoliuk 5–4 Oleksandr Seliuchenko Oleksandr Seliuchenko has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 21:12What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Savoliuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-4 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Savoliuk 1713 vs Seliuchenko 1571
Savoliuk
Correct
both rated, 141 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Savoliuk 60% vs Seliuchenko 20%
Savoliuk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Savoliuk 60% vs Seliuchenko 20%
Savoliuk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Savoliuk +2 · Seliuchenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Savoliuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Seliuchenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSavoliuk 1.67 / Seliuchenko 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Savoliuk)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13186233
Savoliuk1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 128 of 190
Up 2–0, closes it93% 64 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it84% 93 of 111
Seliuchenko2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog53% won 43 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back34% 15 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back12% 3 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeSavoliuk5wins
AwaySeliuchenko4wins
3 of 9 to a deciderSavoliuk leads 5–4, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSavoliuk40%2 of 5
AwaySeliuchenko25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Savoliuk5Seliuchenko4n = 9Savoliuk took 5 of 9
S2Savoliuk7Seliuchenko2n = 9Savoliuk took 7 of 9
S3Savoliuk5Seliuchenko4n = 9Savoliuk took 5 of 9
S4Savoliuk3Seliuchenko4n = 7Seliuchenko took 4 of 7
S5Savoliuk1Seliuchenko2n = 3Seliuchenko took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricSavoliukSeliuchenkoSavoliuk − SeliuchenkoBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match41.636.6+5.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSavoliukSeliuchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime301 / 531 vs 181 / 31656.7%57.3%301 / 531 vs 181 / 316Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SavoliukSavoliuk 1.67/Seliuchenko 2.10
Hit
What we said
59%
Savoliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Savoliuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LJun 29 · 14:40V. Savoliuk32117591O. Seliuchenko3961111113
WJun 15 · 20:20V. Savoliuk331111113O. Seliuchenko168440
LJun 11 · 20:20V. Savoliuk3910118101O. Seliuchenko4112611123
WMay 18 · 16:20V. Savoliuk4181111113O. Seliuchenko28116831
WMay 11 · 14:50V. Savoliuk539111111113O. Seliuchenko4611134992
WApr 20 · 20:20V. Savoliuk331111113O. Seliuchenko142660
LApr 9 · 18:50V. Savoliuk50111111892O. Seliuchenko53991311113
LMar 16 · 15:50V. Savoliuk47111271252O. Seliuchenko559101114113
WFeb 26 · 21:20V. Savoliuk46131111113O. Seliuchenko37158771
V. Savoliuk10
LSep 24 · 19:00O. Zhyrnov2.7511119123V. Savoliuk1.409611101WSep 24 · 15:30O. Strutinskiy2.756612121V. Savoliuk1.40111110143WSep 24 · 13:30A. Derevianko2.20119971V. Savoliuk1.6181111113LSep 24 · 12:30M. Mrykh2.00511119113V. Savoliuk1.7311661192WSep 22 · 12:20O. Strutinskiy2.75511961V. Savoliuk1.4011511113LSep 22 · 11:20I. Nitchenko2.6312312113V. Savoliuk1.4410111071LSep 22 · 09:50A. Derevianko2.2516116113V. Savoliuk1.571431121LSep 22 · 07:50E. Hrytsenko3.0011117113V. Savoliuk1.36491191WSep 22 · 05:50M. Mrykh1.91811101172V. Savoliuk1.80119127113WSep 21 · 19:00O. Strutinskiy3.00571161V. Savoliuk1.3611118113
O. Seliuchenko10
WSep 24 · 18:30O. Strutinskiy2.7511381152O. Seliuchenko1.40711116113LSep 24 · 16:00M. Mrykh2.10813813113O. Seliuchenko1.671111111182WSep 24 · 14:00O. Zhyrnov2.7514880O. Seliuchenko1.401611113LSep 24 · 12:00A. Derevianko2.38111411113O. Seliuchenko1.5381111762LSep 21 · 17:10O. Seliuchenko1.8312830A. Hrabskyi1.831411113LSep 21 · 15:10I. Fedoryshyn1.571111113O. Seliuchenko2.257750LSep 21 · 14:10O. Seliuchenko2.75911481I. Hermakivskyi1.4011811113LSep 21 · 13:10O. Kolbasenko1.801111113O. Seliuchenko1.916950WSep 21 · 11:40O. Seliuchenko2.201111133A. Lievshin1.6149110LSep 15 · 18:30A. Hrabskyi1.9111811133O. Seliuchenko1.808113111
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