TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Maksym Mrykh vs Oleksandr Seliuchenko 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Maksym Mrykh
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
81113118111311118
Oleksandr Seliuchenko
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:11 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Seliuchenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMaksym Mrykh above · Oleksandr Seliuchenko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 105 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Oleksandr Seliuchenko at 54.0%
105 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Mrykh 0–1 Oleksandr Seliuchenko Maksym Mrykh has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:11What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Seliuchenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Mrykh 1691 vs Seliuchenko 1579
Mrykh
Correct
both rated, 112 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mrykh 80% vs Seliuchenko 20%
Mrykh
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mrykh 60% vs Seliuchenko 20%
Mrykh
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mrykh +3 · Seliuchenko +1
Mrykh
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Seliuchenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Seliuchenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMrykh 2.10 / Seliuchenko 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Seliuchenko)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13185584
Mrykh2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 36 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back13% 5 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Seliuchenko1.67
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite57% won 74 of 129
Up 2–0, closes it95% 35 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it73% 57 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMrykh0wins
AwaySeliuchenko1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderSeliuchenko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMrykhSeliuchenkoM − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match43.049.0−6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMrykhSeliuchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime215 / 460 vs 181 / 31546.7%57.5%215 / 460 vs 181 / 315Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SeliuchenkoMrykh 2.10/Seliuchenko 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Seliuchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Mrykh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LDec 6 · 21:20M. Mrykh4311811762O. Seliuchenko49911711113
M. Mrykh10
WSep 24 · 14:30M. Mrykh1.911111113O. Strutinskiy1.805780WSep 24 · 12:30M. Mrykh2.00511119113V. Savoliuk1.7311661192WSep 22 · 11:50M. Mrykh2.1018119113A. Derevianko1.671661171LSep 22 · 10:20M. Mrykh1.83116571O. Strutinskiy1.8381111113WSep 22 · 08:50M. Mrykh1.6711911113E. Hrytsenko2.10811971LSep 22 · 07:20M. Mrykh1.737912101I. Nitchenko2.00111110123LSep 22 · 05:50M. Mrykh1.91811101172V. Savoliuk1.80119127113LSep 21 · 18:30M. Mrykh1.534101181E. Hrytsenko2.3811129113WSep 21 · 16:30V. Maksuta1.44781111102M. Mrykh2.63111179123WSep 21 · 15:30M. Mrykh2.381111113V. Savoliuk1.536780
O. Seliuchenko10
WSep 24 · 14:00O. Zhyrnov2.7514880O. Seliuchenko1.401611113LSep 24 · 12:00A. Derevianko2.38111411113O. Seliuchenko1.5381111762LSep 21 · 17:10O. Seliuchenko1.8312830A. Hrabskyi1.831411113LSep 21 · 15:10I. Fedoryshyn1.571111113O. Seliuchenko2.257750LSep 21 · 14:10O. Seliuchenko2.75911481I. Hermakivskyi1.4011811113LSep 21 · 13:10O. Kolbasenko1.801111113O. Seliuchenko1.916950WSep 21 · 11:40O. Seliuchenko2.201111133A. Lievshin1.6149110LSep 15 · 18:30A. Hrabskyi1.9111811133O. Seliuchenko1.808113111LSep 15 · 17:30A. Yurkov1.731113113O. Seliuchenko2.0061190LSep 15 · 16:00V. Marushchak1.441111113O. Seliuchenko2.637640
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