TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Andrii Derevianko vs Volodymyr Savoliuk 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Andrii Derevianko
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1614113611112––
Volodymyr Savoliuk
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:50 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Savoliuk to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAndrii Derevianko above · Volodymyr Savoliuk below
Set 1 · 16-14
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-2
Point 74 set 4, 11-2 — our read held Volodymyr Savoliuk at 59.3%
74 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Derevianko 21–31 Volodymyr Savoliuk Andrii Derevianko has won 21 of their 52 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:50What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Savoliuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-31 in 52
Savoliuk
Wrong
gap of 10 in 52, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Derevianko 1725 vs Savoliuk 1714
Derevianko
Correct
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Derevianko 60% vs Savoliuk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Derevianko 60% vs Savoliuk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Derevianko -1 · Savoliuk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Savoliuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Derevianko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDerevianko 2.25 / Savoliuk 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Savoliuk)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13172305
Derevianko2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 129 of 318
Down 0–1, comes back25% 45 of 184
Down 0–2, comes back11% 11 of 99
Savoliuk1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 126 of 185
Up 2–0, closes it93% 64 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it84% 91 of 109
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDerevianko4wins
AwaySavoliuk6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSavoliuk leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDerevianko50%2 of 4
AwaySavoliuk66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Derevianko4Savoliuk6n = 10Savoliuk took 6 of 10
S2Derevianko5Savoliuk5n = 10split evenly
S3Derevianko6Savoliuk4n = 10Derevianko took 6 of 10
S4Derevianko1Savoliuk7n = 8Savoliuk took 7 of 8
S5Derevianko2Savoliuk1n = 3Derevianko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDereviankoSavoliukD − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.940.9−2.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDereviankoSavoliukBasisWin rate · lifetime457 / 960 vs 303 / 53547.6%56.6%457 / 960 vs 303 / 535Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SavoliukDerevianko 2.25/Savoliuk 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Savoliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Derevianko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 15 · 12:20A. Derevianko239680V. Savoliuk331111113
LSep 11 · 08:50A. Derevianko46111168102V. Savoliuk52991111123
WSep 10 · 14:00A. Derevianko4181111113V. Savoliuk31114881
WSep 7 · 18:30A. Derevianko46711116113V. Savoliuk4311961162
LSep 1 · 06:50A. Derevianko396914101V. Savoliuk46111112123
WAug 31 · 18:30A. Derevianko341112113V. Savoliuk2481060
LAug 28 · 11:50A. Derevianko371011971V. Savoliuk4312911113
LAug 25 · 08:20A. Derevianko361391131V. Savoliuk4215115113
LAug 24 · 14:30A. Derevianko371112861V. Savoliuk4481411113
WAug 15 · 06:50A. Derevianko50115116173V. Savoliuk51611811152
A. Derevianko10
LSep 22 · 08:20A. Derevianko2.00112661O. Strutinskiy1.7391111113WSep 22 · 06:20A. Derevianko2.20751212113I. Nitchenko1.611111101042WSep 18 · 18:30A. Derevianko1.61118111143E. Hrytsenko2.2081113522LSep 18 · 16:30I. Nitchenko1.73812114113A. Derevianko2.00111041162WSep 18 · 15:30A. Derevianko2.00117811123M. Deineha1.73611114102WSep 18 · 14:30A. Nazarov1.8011912682A. Derevianko1.916111011113WSep 18 · 13:00A. Derevianko2.00511711113O. Strutinskiy1.7311911942LSep 15 · 12:20A. Derevianko2.209680V. Savoliuk1.611111113LSep 15 · 10:20A. Nazarov1.73111298113A. Derevianko2.00510111192WSep 15 · 09:20A. Derevianko2.00115912113I. Nitchenko1.73811111082
V. Savoliuk10
LSep 22 · 07:50E. Hrytsenko3.0011117113V. Savoliuk1.36491191WSep 22 · 05:50M. Mrykh1.91811101172V. Savoliuk1.80119127113WSep 21 · 19:00O. Strutinskiy3.00571161V. Savoliuk1.3611118113WSep 21 · 17:30V. Savoliuk1.33119712113E. Hrytsenko3.25511111022LSep 21 · 15:30M. Mrykh2.381111113V. Savoliuk1.536780WSep 21 · 13:30V. Maksuta2.20991251V. Savoliuk1.61111110113LSep 21 · 12:30A. Nazarov2.101112133V. Savoliuk1.67910110WSep 15 · 12:20A. Derevianko2.209680V. Savoliuk1.611111113WSep 15 · 11:20I. Nitchenko2.506440V. Savoliuk1.501111113LSep 15 · 09:50O. Strutinskiy2.75111011113V. Savoliuk1.40612491
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.