TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Strutinskiy vs Volodymyr Savoliuk 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Oleksandr Strutinskiy
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511115911611––
Volodymyr Savoliuk
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:51 and never touched — 67.9% is still 67.9%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Savoliuk to win
67.9%
67.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Strutinskiy above · Volodymyr Savoliuk below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 69 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Volodymyr Savoliuk at 67.9%
69 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Strutinskiy 26–58 Volodymyr Savoliuk Oleksandr Strutinskiy has won 26 of their 84 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:51What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Savoliuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-58 in 84
Savoliuk
Correct
gap of 32 in 84, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strutinskiy 1686 vs Savoliuk 1689
Savoliuk
Correct
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strutinskiy 60% vs Savoliuk 40%
Strutinskiy
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strutinskiy 50% vs Savoliuk 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Strutinskiy +3 · Savoliuk -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Savoliuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Savoliuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrutinskiy 2.75 / Savoliuk 1.40
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Savoliuk)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13172889
Strutinskiy2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 58 of 165
Down 0–1, comes back19% 18 of 95
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 60
Savoliuk1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 126 of 185
Up 2–0, closes it93% 64 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it84% 91 of 109
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrutinskiy3wins
AwaySavoliuk7wins
Savoliuk leads 7–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrutinskiy50%2 of 4
AwaySavoliuk83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strutinskiy4Savoliuk6n = 10Savoliuk took 6 of 10
S2Strutinskiy5Savoliuk5n = 10split evenly
S3Strutinskiy4Savoliuk6n = 10Savoliuk took 6 of 10
S4Strutinskiy2Savoliuk6n = 8Savoliuk took 6 of 8
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrutinskiySavoliukStrutinskiy − SavoliukBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match32.235.7−3.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrutinskiySavoliukBasisWin rate · lifetime417 / 811 vs 303 / 53751.4%56.4%417 / 811 vs 303 / 537Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SavoliukStrutinskiy 2.75/Savoliuk 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.9%
Savoliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Savoliuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 19:00O. Strutinskiy29571161V. Savoliuk4111118113
WSep 15 · 09:50O. Strutinskiy43111011113V. Savoliuk31612491
LSep 12 · 12:20O. Strutinskiy26611631V. Savoliuk3711411113
LSep 11 · 07:50O. Strutinskiy28117911V. Savoliuk4291111113
LSep 10 · 13:00O. Strutinskiy25211571V. Savoliuk3811511113
LSep 7 · 17:30O. Strutinskiy208750V. Savoliuk331111113
LSep 1 · 12:20O. Strutinskiy4011711111V. Savoliuk4361113133
WAug 31 · 14:00O. Strutinskiy361411113V. Savoliuk2212640
LAug 28 · 05:50O. Strutinskiy331011481V. Savoliuk4312911113
WAug 25 · 09:50O. Strutinskiy4291111113V. Savoliuk27119431
O. Strutinskiy10
WSep 22 · 10:20M. Mrykh1.83116571O. Strutinskiy1.8381111113WSep 22 · 09:20O. Strutinskiy1.831112113I. Nitchenko1.8351070WSep 22 · 08:20A. Derevianko2.00112661O. Strutinskiy1.7391111113LSep 22 · 06:50O. Strutinskiy1.441112741E. Hrytsenko2.6361411113LSep 21 · 19:00O. Strutinskiy3.00571161V. Savoliuk1.3611118113WSep 21 · 17:00A. Nazarov2.2081111572O. Strutinskiy1.61114911113LSep 21 · 15:00V. Maksuta2.1013911113O. Strutinskiy1.671111941WSep 21 · 14:00O. Strutinskiy1.501211113E. Hrytsenko2.5010780LSep 21 · 13:00M. Mrykh1.83131194133O. Strutinskiy1.831191111112LSep 18 · 19:00O. Strutinskiy2.10101181192M. Deineha1.67128116113
V. Savoliuk10
LSep 22 · 11:20I. Nitchenko2.6312312113V. Savoliuk1.4410111071LSep 22 · 09:50A. Derevianko2.2516116113V. Savoliuk1.571431121LSep 22 · 07:50E. Hrytsenko3.0011117113V. Savoliuk1.36491191WSep 22 · 05:50M. Mrykh1.91811101172V. Savoliuk1.80119127113WSep 21 · 19:00O. Strutinskiy3.00571161V. Savoliuk1.3611118113WSep 21 · 17:30V. Savoliuk1.33119712113E. Hrytsenko3.25511111022LSep 21 · 15:30M. Mrykh2.381111113V. Savoliuk1.536780WSep 21 · 13:30V. Maksuta2.20991251V. Savoliuk1.61111110113LSep 21 · 12:30A. Nazarov2.101112133V. Savoliuk1.67910110WSep 15 · 12:20A. Derevianko2.209680V. Savoliuk1.611111113
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