TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Anatolii Lievshin vs Maksym Deineha 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
6111517115116116
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:08 and never touched: 66.3% is still 66.3%
Graded at full timeAnatolii Lievshin to win
66.3%
66.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingAnatolii Lievshin above · Maksym Deineha below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 15-17
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 99 set 5, 11-6 · our read held Anatolii Lievshin at 66.3%
99 points played in total.
H2H Anatolii Lievshin 2–0 Maksym Deineha Maksym Deineha has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:0866.3%Our read71.4%to break even at 1.40
short by 5.1pp71.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.40 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Lievshin
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Lievshin 1713 vs Deineha 1672
Lievshin
Correct
both rated, 41 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lievshin 60% vs Deineha 0%
Lievshin
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lievshin 60% vs Deineha 20%
Lievshin
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lievshin -1 · Deineha -6
Deineha
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% · Clear lean (leans Lievshin) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Deineha form (0%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLievshin 1.40 / Deineha 2.75
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Lievshin)-5.1pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13219257
Lievshin1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 135 of 228
Up 2–0, closes it94% 68 of 72
Up 1–0, closes it84% 106 of 126
Deineha2.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 18 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back35% 9 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back25% 3 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeLievshin2wins
AwayDeineha0wins
Lievshin leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricLievshinDeinehaL − DBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match37.027.0+10.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLievshinDeinehaBasisWin rate · lifetime205 / 368 vs 53 / 9355.7%57%205 / 368 vs 53 / 93Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.839.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
LievshinLievshin 1.40/Deineha 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.3%
Lievshin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Lievshin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 28 · 13:00A. Lievshin4111811113M. Deineha33811951
WJul 11 · 07:20A. Lievshin331111113M. Deineha218490
A. Lievshin10
LSep 30 · 09:20A. Hrabskyi3.251110611143A. Lievshin1.33612119122WSep 30 · 07:20O. Kolbasenko1.531111710102A. Lievshin2.38971112123WSep 30 · 06:20A. Yurkov2.25891161A. Lievshin1.5711118113WSep 29 · 17:53P. Plakushchyi2.637660A. Lievshin1.441111113LSep 29 · 16:30V. Marushchak1.50661111113A. Lievshin2.5011118972LSep 29 · 15:00A. Lievshin1.4058111182P. Plakushchyi2.75111168113WSep 29 · 13:30A. Lievshin1.331111113A. Hrabskyi3.259860WSep 29 · 12:00A. Lievshin1.671111113A. Yurkov2.105730LSep 28 · 19:00A. Lievshin1.6791270A. Yurkov2.101114113WSep 28 · 17:00P. Plakushchyi3.25711121052A. Lievshin1.331191012113
M. Deineha10
LSep 30 · 12:20A. Hrabskyi1.731361410113M. Deineha2.001111121222LSep 30 · 09:50A. Yurkov1.4010111110113M. Deineha2.7512671262LSep 30 · 07:50P. Plakushchyi2.00111511113M. Deineha1.73617771LSep 30 · 05:50O. Kolbasenko1.801111113M. Deineha1.917350LSep 28 · 18:30M. Deineha1.91713914172A. Hrabskyi1.8011111112193LSep 28 · 16:30Y. Shmyndra1.671211110113M. Deineha2.10101161252LSep 28 · 15:30M. Deineha2.005870A. Yurkov1.731111113WSep 28 · 14:30P. Plakushchyi1.91111410101M. Deineha1.80131212123LSep 28 · 13:00M. Deineha2.50811951A. Lievshin1.5011811113LSep 26 · 12:50M. Deineha1.911111831V. Savoliuk1.8081311113
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