TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Anatolii Lievshin vs Pavel Plakushchyi 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
511811116118811
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:42 and never touched: 70.7% is still 70.7%
Graded at full timeAnatolii Lievshin to win
70.7%
70.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAnatolii Lievshin above · Pavel Plakushchyi below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 90 set 5, 8-11 · our read held Anatolii Lievshin at 70.7%
90 points played in total.
H2H Anatolii Lievshin 5–2 Pavel Plakushchyi Pavel Plakushchyi has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:42What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Lievshin
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
5-2 in 7
Lievshin
Wrong
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lievshin 1696 vs Plakushchyi 1600
Lievshin
Wrong
both rated, 96 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lievshin 80% vs Plakushchyi 20%
Lievshin
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lievshin 70% vs Plakushchyi 20%
Lievshin
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lievshin +2 · Plakushchyi -4
Plakushchyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% · Strong (leans Lievshin) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Plakushchyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLievshin 1.40 / Plakushchyi 2.75
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Lievshin)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13216239
Lievshin1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 132 of 224
Up 2–0, closes it94% 65 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it84% 103 of 123
Plakushchyi2.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog33% won 85 of 255
Down 0–1, comes back15% 24 of 158
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 90
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeLievshin5wins
AwayPlakushchyi2wins
3 of 7 to a deciderLievshin leads 5–2, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLievshin100%5 of 5
AwayPlakushchyin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lievshin5Plakushchyi2n = 7Lievshin took 5 of 7
S2Lievshin4Plakushchyi3n = 7Lievshin took 4 of 7
S3Lievshin4Plakushchyi3n = 7Lievshin took 4 of 7
S4Lievshin5Plakushchyi0n = 5Lievshin took 5 of 5
S5Lievshin1Plakushchyi2n = 3Plakushchyi took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricLievshinPlakushchyiL − PBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match40.334.0+6.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLievshinPlakushchyiBasisWin rate · lifetime202 / 364 vs 325 / 73155.5%44.5%202 / 364 vs 325 / 731Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.735.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
LievshinLievshin 1.40/Plakushchyi 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70.7%
Lievshin · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Plakushchyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 29 · 15:00A. Lievshin4358111182P. Plakushchyi47111168113
WSep 28 · 17:00A. Lievshin531191012113P. Plakushchyi45711121052
WSep 25 · 17:40A. Lievshin351113113P. Plakushchyi2381140
WSep 7 · 16:10A. Lievshin47111114113P. Plakushchyi326131211
LAug 31 · 16:10A. Lievshin3261131112P. Plakushchyi50119118113
WAug 28 · 14:10A. Lievshin3911116113P. Plakushchyi28731171
WJul 31 · 16:40A. Lievshin331111113P. Plakushchyi134630
A. Lievshin10
WSep 29 · 17:53P. Plakushchyi2.637660A. Lievshin1.441111113LSep 29 · 16:30V. Marushchak1.50661111113A. Lievshin2.5011118972WSep 29 · 13:30A. Lievshin1.331111113A. Hrabskyi3.259860WSep 29 · 12:00A. Lievshin1.671111113A. Yurkov2.105730LSep 28 · 19:00A. Lievshin1.6791270A. Yurkov2.101114113WSep 28 · 17:00P. Plakushchyi3.25711121052A. Lievshin1.331191012113WSep 28 · 15:00Y. Shmyndra1.83114531A. Lievshin1.8371111113WSep 28 · 14:00A. Lievshin1.361111113A. Hrabskyi3.007690WSep 28 · 13:00M. Deineha2.50811951A. Lievshin1.5011811113WSep 25 · 17:40P. Plakushchyi3.0081140A. Lievshin1.361113113
P. Plakushchyi10
LSep 29 · 17:53P. Plakushchyi2.637660A. Lievshin1.441111113WSep 29 · 16:00P. Plakushchyi3.25111165113A. Yurkov1.3356111182LSep 29 · 14:00P. Plakushchyi1.8391090V. Marushchak1.831112113LSep 29 · 12:30A. Hrabskyi1.839111111113P. Plakushchyi1.8311761352LSep 28 · 18:00Y. Shmyndra1.571111113P. Plakushchyi2.254870LSep 28 · 17:00P. Plakushchyi3.25711121052A. Lievshin1.331191012113WSep 28 · 16:00P. Plakushchyi2.0011114113A. Hrabskyi1.73981191LSep 28 · 14:30P. Plakushchyi1.91111410101M. Deineha1.80131212123LSep 28 · 12:30P. Plakushchyi3.00781171A. Yurkov1.3611114113LSep 25 · 17:40P. Plakushchyi3.0081140A. Lievshin1.361113113
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