TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Yurii Shmyndra vs Pavel Plakushchyi 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114118117––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:58 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeYurii Shmyndra to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Shmyndra above · Pavel Plakushchyi below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 52 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Yurii Shmyndra at 58.9%
52 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Shmyndra 3–0 Pavel Plakushchyi Pavel Plakushchyi has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:58What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Shmyndra
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Shmyndra
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shmyndra 1584 vs Plakushchyi 1600
Plakushchyi
Wrong
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shmyndra 40% vs Plakushchyi 20%
Shmyndra
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shmyndra 40% vs Plakushchyi 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Shmyndra +1 · Plakushchyi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Shmyndra) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Plakushchyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShmyndra 1.57 / Plakushchyi 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Shmyndra)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13207962
Shmyndra1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite44% won 24 of 55
Up 2–0, closes it78% 7 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it57% 12 of 21
Plakushchyi2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 84 of 250
Down 0–1, comes back16% 24 of 154
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 88
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeShmyndra3wins
AwayPlakushchyi0wins
1 of 3 to a deciderShmyndra leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shmyndra1Plakushchyi2n = 3Plakushchyi took 2 of 3
S2Shmyndra3Plakushchyi0n = 3Shmyndra took 3 of 3
S3Shmyndra3Plakushchyi0n = 3Shmyndra took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricShmyndraPlakushchyiS − PBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match41.335.3+6.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShmyndraPlakushchyiBasisWin rate · lifetime91 / 201 vs 323 / 72645.3%44.5%91 / 201 vs 323 / 726Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.435.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShmyndraShmyndra 1.57/Plakushchyi 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Shmyndra · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Shmyndra won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 25 · 11:40Y. Shmyndra4291111113P. Plakushchyi30117571
WJul 15 · 10:50Y. Shmyndra43411116113P. Plakushchyi4411581192
WJul 14 · 17:00Y. Shmyndra391117113P. Plakushchyi3281590
Y. Shmyndra10
WSep 28 · 16:30Y. Shmyndra1.671211110113M. Deineha2.10101161252LSep 28 · 15:00Y. Shmyndra1.83114531A. Lievshin1.8371111113LSep 28 · 13:30Y. Shmyndra2.00511161182A. Yurkov1.73117186113LSep 28 · 12:00Y. Shmyndra1.7311117792A. Hrabskyi2.00451111113WSep 25 · 16:24A. Lievshin1.83128571Y. Shmyndra1.83101111113LSep 25 · 15:10V. Voronenko1.80141111113Y. Shmyndra1.91168471LSep 25 · 14:11Y. Shmyndra1.73711771A. Hrabskyi2.0011811113WSep 25 · 14:10Y. Shmyndra1.911451212113A. Lievshin1.801211141052WSep 25 · 11:40Y. Shmyndra1.6191111113P. Plakushchyi2.20117571LSep 6 · 10:35Y. Shmyndra2.00811101472N. Kovalchuk1.731191212113
P. Plakushchyi10
LSep 28 · 17:00P. Plakushchyi3.25711121052A. Lievshin1.331191012113WSep 28 · 16:00P. Plakushchyi2.0011114113A. Hrabskyi1.73981191LSep 28 · 14:30P. Plakushchyi1.91111410101M. Deineha1.80131212123LSep 28 · 12:30P. Plakushchyi3.00781171A. Yurkov1.3611114113LSep 25 · 17:40P. Plakushchyi3.0081140A. Lievshin1.361113113LSep 25 · 15:53P. Plakushchyi1.91851151A. Hrabskyi1.8011119113WSep 25 · 15:40A. Hrabskyi1.731481191P. Plakushchyi2.0016114113WSep 25 · 13:40V. Voronenko1.5715710P. Plakushchyi2.251711113LSep 25 · 11:40Y. Shmyndra1.6191111113P. Plakushchyi2.20117571LSep 23 · 16:05E. Rubtsov2.6381111113P. Plakushchyi1.44118731
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