TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Pavel Plakushchyi vs Artem Yurkov 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
115116611511118
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:51 and never touched: 73.3% is still 73.3%
Graded at full timeArtem Yurkov to win
73.3%
73.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPavel Plakushchyi above · Artem Yurkov below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 85 set 5, 11-8 · our read held Artem Yurkov at 73.3%
85 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Plakushchyi 4–12 Artem Yurkov Pavel Plakushchyi has won 4 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:51What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Yurkov
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
4-12 in 16
Yurkov
Wrong
gap of 8 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Plakushchyi 1586 vs Yurkov 1675
Yurkov
Wrong
both rated, 89 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Plakushchyi 20% vs Yurkov 60%
Yurkov
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Plakushchyi 20% vs Yurkov 60%
Yurkov
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Plakushchyi +1 · Yurkov +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% · Strong (leans Yurkov) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yurkov form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlakushchyi 3.25 / Yurkov 1.33
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Yurkov)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13216293
Plakushchyi3.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog33% won 85 of 255
Down 0–1, comes back15% 24 of 158
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 90
Yurkov1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 187 of 320
Up 2–0, closes it94% 76 of 81
Up 1–0, closes it73% 127 of 173
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePlakushchyi3wins
AwayYurkov7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderYurkov leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlakushchyi60%3 of 5
AwayYurkov100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Plakushchyi5Yurkov5n = 10split evenly
S2Plakushchyi1Yurkov9n = 10Yurkov took 9 of 10
S3Plakushchyi5Yurkov5n = 10split evenly
S4Plakushchyi2Yurkov6n = 8Yurkov took 6 of 8
S5Plakushchyi3Yurkov2n = 5Plakushchyi took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPlakushchyiYurkovP − YBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.141.9−3.8per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlakushchyiYurkovBasisWin rate · lifetime324 / 730 vs 570 / 96744.4%59%324 / 730 vs 570 / 967Avg sets wonper match1.82.3per matchAvg pointsper match35.440.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
YurkovPlakushchyi 3.25/Yurkov 1.33
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
73.3%
Yurkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Plakushchyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 28 · 12:30P. Plakushchyi33781171A. Yurkov3711114113
LSep 7 · 12:40P. Plakushchyi391188121A. Yurkov4591111143
LAug 31 · 12:40P. Plakushchyi4311911482A. Yurkov44511611113
WAug 28 · 11:40P. Plakushchyi46117311143A. Yurkov45511116122
LJul 31 · 13:40P. Plakushchyi219570A. Yurkov331111113
LJul 22 · 06:20P. Plakushchyi258890A. Yurkov331111113
WJul 21 · 19:00P. Plakushchyi48111169113A. Yurkov4688111182
WJul 15 · 06:50P. Plakushchyi50127119113A. Yurkov44101131192
LJul 14 · 13:00P. Plakushchyi3744111352A. Yurkov501111611113
LJul 10 · 11:10P. Plakushchyi397151161A. Yurkov4211173113
P. Plakushchyi10
LSep 29 · 17:53P. Plakushchyi2.637660A. Lievshin1.441111113WSep 29 · 15:00A. Lievshin1.4058111182P. Plakushchyi2.75111168113LSep 29 · 14:00P. Plakushchyi1.8391090V. Marushchak1.831112113LSep 29 · 12:30A. Hrabskyi1.839111111113P. Plakushchyi1.8311761352LSep 28 · 18:00Y. Shmyndra1.571111113P. Plakushchyi2.254870LSep 28 · 17:00P. Plakushchyi3.25711121052A. Lievshin1.331191012113WSep 28 · 16:00P. Plakushchyi2.0011114113A. Hrabskyi1.73981191LSep 28 · 14:30P. Plakushchyi1.91111410101M. Deineha1.80131212123LSep 28 · 12:30P. Plakushchyi3.00781171A. Yurkov1.3611114113LSep 25 · 17:40P. Plakushchyi3.0081140A. Lievshin1.361113113
A. Yurkov10
WSep 29 · 17:23A. Yurkov1.911091111113V. Marushchak1.8012116692WSep 29 · 14:30A. Hrabskyi2.00811911112A. Yurkov1.73117117133WSep 29 · 13:00V. Marushchak1.8076111162A. Yurkov1.91111166113LSep 29 · 12:00A. Lievshin1.671111113A. Yurkov2.105730WSep 28 · 19:00A. Lievshin1.6791270A. Yurkov2.101114113LSep 28 · 17:30A. Yurkov1.83121511872A. Hrabskyi1.831017911113WSep 28 · 15:30M. Deineha2.005870A. Yurkov1.731111113WSep 28 · 13:30Y. Shmyndra2.00511161182A. Yurkov1.73117186113WSep 28 · 12:30P. Plakushchyi3.00781171A. Yurkov1.3611114113LSep 23 · 09:20O. Belskyi1.611111113A. Yurkov2.204540
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