TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Zhyrnov vs Artem Zozulia 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 7Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118119811116––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:36 and never touched: 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Zhyrnov to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Zhyrnov above · Artem Zozulia below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 75 set 4, 11-6 · our read held Oleksandr Zhyrnov at 62.5%
75 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Zhyrnov 2–0 Artem Zozulia Artem Zozulia has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:3662.5%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50
short by 4.2pp66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Zhyrnov
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Zhyrnov 1650 vs Zozulia 1634
Zhyrnov
Correct
both rated, 16 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zhyrnov 40% vs Zozulia 60%
Zozulia
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zhyrnov 30% vs Zozulia 60%
Zozulia
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zhyrnov +1 · Zozulia +3
Zozulia
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% · Clear lean (leans Zhyrnov) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zozulia form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZhyrnov 1.50 / Zozulia 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Zhyrnov)-4.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13256120
Zhyrnov1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Oct 06)
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 114 of 178
Up 2–0, closes it95% 58 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it85% 87 of 102
Zozulia2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Oct 03)
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 11 of 26
Down 0–1, comes back19% 3 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeZhyrnov2wins
AwayZozulia0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderZhyrnov leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricZhyrnovZozuliaZhyrnov − ZozuliaBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match41.534.0+7.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZhyrnovZozuliaBasisWin rate · lifetime387 / 773 vs 25 / 5350.1%47.2%387 / 773 vs 25 / 53Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.235.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ZhyrnovZhyrnov 1.50/Zozulia 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Zhyrnov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zhyrnov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 12 · 07:20O. Zhyrnov49117119113A. Zozulia4591171172
WSep 10 · 17:10O. Zhyrnov341211113A. Zozulia2310490
O. Zhyrnov10
WOct 6 · 12:50O. Zhyrnov2.0011118123E. Hrytsenko1.738811101LOct 6 · 10:50I. Nitchenko1.611151111113O. Zhyrnov2.2061113742LOct 6 · 08:50M. Mrykh1.611111113O. Zhyrnov2.208880WOct 6 · 07:50O. Zhyrnov3.259111110113O. Strutinskiy1.3311841292LOct 6 · 06:50A. Derevianko1.36731111123O. Zhyrnov3.00111147102LOct 5 · 16:40E. Hrytsenko1.731111113O. Zhyrnov2.007680LOct 5 · 15:40O. Zhyrnov3.0011940A. Derevianko1.361311113WOct 5 · 14:40O. Zhyrnov1.91612911113V. Maksuta1.80111011982LOct 5 · 13:10O. Zhyrnov3.00981291Y. Riadynskyi1.36111110113LOct 5 · 11:10O. Zhyrnov2.75117931O. Strutinskiy1.4031111113
A. Zozulia10
WOct 3 · 17:40A. Zozulia1.6161111103Y. Holoborodko2.20116941WOct 3 · 15:40R. Pomin1.8331040A. Zozulia1.831112113WOct 3 · 13:40Y. Skorobahatyi2.381112771A. Zozulia1.5371411113LOct 3 · 12:40A. Zozulia2.5011380O. Kuzyshyn1.501311113LOct 3 · 11:40A. Droshchynskyi1.7311117143A. Zozulia2.007311121LSep 24 · 17:10M. Tiutiunnyk1.9171111113A. Zozulia1.80115961WSep 24 · 16:10O. Blashkun1.9110730A. Zozulia1.801211113WSep 24 · 14:40V. Merzlikin2.20111187102A. Zozulia1.61591111123WSep 24 · 12:40Y. Holoborodko2.20111144112A. Zozulia1.61881111133LSep 24 · 10:40V. Maksuta1.911111113A. Zozulia1.806680
Upcoming Matches
O. Zhyrnov
A. Zozulia
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.