TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Artem Zozulia vs Yevhenii Holoborodko 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
611116119104––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:28 and never touched: 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeArtem Zozulia to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
RightSent to Pro: Artem Zozulia @ 1.61 · Won
How it is goingArtem Zozulia above · Yevhenii Holoborodko below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 10-4
Point 68 set 4, 10-4 · our read held Artem Zozulia at 59.7%
68 points played in total.
H2H Artem Zozulia 4–2 Yevhenii Holoborodko Yevhenii Holoborodko has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 16:2859.7%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615
short by 2.2pp61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Zozulia
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Zozulia
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zozulia 1621 vs Holoborodko 1518
Zozulia
Correct
both rated, 103 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zozulia 40% vs Holoborodko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zozulia 60% vs Holoborodko 40%
Zozulia
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zozulia +2 · Holoborodko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 60% · Slight lean (leans Zozulia) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zozulia form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZozulia 1.615 / Holoborodko 2.20
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Zozulia)-2.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13234753
Zozulia1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite47% won 9 of 19
Up 2–0, closes it83% 5 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it67% 6 of 9
Holoborodko2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 72 of 193
Down 0–1, comes back24% 28 of 119
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeZozulia4wins
AwayHoloborodko2wins
4 of 6 to a deciderZozulia leads 4–2, and 4 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZozulia75%3 of 4
AwayHoloborodkon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zozulia4Holoborodko2n = 6Zozulia took 4 of 6
S2Zozulia4Holoborodko2n = 6Zozulia took 4 of 6
S3Zozulia2Holoborodko4n = 6Holoborodko took 4 of 6
S4Zozulia4Holoborodko1n = 5Zozulia took 4 of 5
S5Zozulia2Holoborodko2n = 4split evenly
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricZozuliaHoloborodkoZ − HBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match45.040.0+5.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZozuliaHoloborodkoBasisWin rate · lifetime24 / 52 vs 347 / 67746.2%51.3%24 / 52 vs 347 / 677Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.238.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ZozuliaZozulia 1.61/Holoborodko 2.20
Hit
What we said
59.7%
Zozulia · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Artem Zozulia @ 1.61 · Won
What happened
3–1
Zozulia won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 24 · 12:40A. Zozulia51881111133Y. Holoborodko41111144112
WSep 19 · 12:40A. Zozulia51125711163Y. Holoborodko551011119142
WSep 17 · 17:10A. Zozulia4211128113Y. Holoborodko294101141
WSep 16 · 17:40A. Zozulia331111113Y. Holoborodko214980
LSep 13 · 11:30A. Zozulia48111169112Y. Holoborodko51881111133
LSep 10 · 14:10A. Zozulia4581161192Y. Holoborodko43117113113
A. Zozulia10
WOct 3 · 15:40R. Pomin1.8331040A. Zozulia1.831112113WOct 3 · 13:40Y. Skorobahatyi2.381112771A. Zozulia1.5371411113LOct 3 · 12:40A. Zozulia2.5011380O. Kuzyshyn1.501311113LOct 3 · 11:40A. Droshchynskyi1.7311117143A. Zozulia2.007311121LSep 24 · 17:10M. Tiutiunnyk1.9171111113A. Zozulia1.80115961WSep 24 · 16:10O. Blashkun1.9110730A. Zozulia1.801211113WSep 24 · 14:40V. Merzlikin2.20111187102A. Zozulia1.61591111123WSep 24 · 12:40Y. Holoborodko2.20111144112A. Zozulia1.61881111133LSep 24 · 10:40V. Maksuta1.911111113A. Zozulia1.806680WSep 19 · 17:10M. Tiutiunnyk1.288660A. Zozulia3.501111113
Y. Holoborodko10
WOct 3 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko2.753111110113O. Kuzyshyn1.4011891292LOct 3 · 14:10A. Droshchynskyi1.3091411113Y. Holoborodko3.401112941WOct 3 · 12:10Y. Skorobahatyi1.61951191Y. Holoborodko2.2011116113LOct 3 · 11:10R. Pomin1.611111113Y. Holoborodko2.205890LOct 1 · 17:40Y. Holoborodko2.006880M. Tiutiunnyk1.731111113WOct 1 · 15:40V. Merzlikin1.80711119102Y. Holoborodko1.91113711123LOct 1 · 13:40O. Zhyrnov1.4011114113Y. Holoborodko2.75831191WOct 1 · 12:40Y. Holoborodko2.751311113V. Maksuta1.4011770LOct 1 · 11:40E. Hrytsenko1.531111113Y. Holoborodko2.382780LSep 24 · 12:40Y. Holoborodko2.20111144112A. Zozulia1.61881111133
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