TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Andrii Droshchynskyi vs Artem Zozulia 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1171137111412––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:27 and never touched: 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeAndrii Droshchynskyi to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
RightSent to Pro: Andrii Droshchynskyi @ 1.80 · Won
How it is goingAndrii Droshchynskyi above · Artem Zozulia below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 14-12
Point 76 set 4, 14-12 · our read held Andrii Droshchynskyi at 54.3%
76 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Droshchynskyi 1–2 Artem Zozulia Andrii Droshchynskyi has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 18:2754.3%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 3.6pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Droshchynskyi
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Droshchynskyi 1708 vs Zozulia 1623
Droshchynskyi
Correct
both rated, 85 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Droshchynskyi 80% vs Zozulia 60%
Droshchynskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Droshchynskyi 80% vs Zozulia 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Droshchynskyi +4 · Zozulia -1
Droshchynskyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Droshchynskyi) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Droshchynskyi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDroshchynskyi 1.727 / Zozulia 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Droshchynskyi)-3.6pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13234301
Droshchynskyi1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 6 days ago (Sep 27)
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite64% won 81 of 127
Up 2–0, closes it90% 60 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it77% 69 of 90
Zozulia2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 9 days ago (Sep 24) · back after a break
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 11 of 24
Down 0–1, comes back21% 3 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeDroshchynskyi1wins
AwayZozulia2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderZozulia leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Droshchynskyi2Zozulia1n = 3Droshchynskyi took 2 of 3
S2Droshchynskyi1Zozulia2n = 3Zozulia took 2 of 3
S3Droshchynskyi0Zozulia3n = 3Zozulia took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricDroshchynskyiZozuliaD − ZBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match34.341.0−6.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDroshchynskyiZozuliaBasisWin rate · lifetime137 / 236 vs 22 / 4858.1%45.8%137 / 236 vs 22 / 48Avg sets wonper match2.21.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.935.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
DroshchynskyiDroshchynskyi 1.73/Zozulia 2.00
Hit
What we said
54.3%
Droshchynskyi · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Andrii Droshchynskyi @ 1.80 · Won
What happened
3–1
Droshchynskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 19 · 16:10A. Droshchynskyi169340A. Zozulia331111113
WSep 17 · 12:40A. Droshchynskyi52151358113A. Zozulia531311111172
LSep 13 · 06:30A. Droshchynskyi351110771A. Zozulia3731211113
A. Droshchynskyi10
WSep 27 · 11:00A. Droshchynskyi1.1711911113Y. Makovka4.50511761WSep 27 · 09:00O. Blashkun2.638880A. Droshchynskyi1.441111113WSep 27 · 08:00A. Droshchynskyi1.3011119113O. Varlamov3.40951131WSep 27 · 07:00Y. Bondarenko1.80911128102A. Droshchynskyi1.911191011123LSep 27 · 05:30A. Droshchynskyi1.83991161O. Zhyrnov1.8311117113LSep 26 · 16:40A. Droshchynskyi1.44481151V. Ishchuk2.6311114113WSep 26 · 15:10A. Droshchynskyi1.3611117113M. Tiutiunnyk3.00971171WSep 26 · 13:40A. Droshchynskyi1.201111123Y. Makovka4.3374100WSep 26 · 12:10A. Droshchynskyi1.361111123Y. Holoborodko3.0065100WSep 26 · 10:40A. Droshchynskyi1.4411115143O. Blashkun2.639711121
A. Zozulia10
LOct 3 · 12:40A. Zozulia2.5011380O. Kuzyshyn1.501311113LSep 24 · 17:10M. Tiutiunnyk1.9171111113A. Zozulia1.80115961WSep 24 · 16:10O. Blashkun1.9110730A. Zozulia1.801211113WSep 24 · 14:40V. Merzlikin2.20111187102A. Zozulia1.61591111123WSep 24 · 12:40Y. Holoborodko2.20111144112A. Zozulia1.61881111133LSep 24 · 10:40V. Maksuta1.911111113A. Zozulia1.806680WSep 19 · 17:10M. Tiutiunnyk1.288660A. Zozulia3.501111113WSep 19 · 16:10A. Droshchynskyi1.539340A. Zozulia2.381111113LSep 19 · 14:40O. Kuzyshyn1.571111103A. Zozulia2.256590WSep 19 · 12:40Y. Holoborodko2.001011119142A. Zozulia1.73125711163
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