TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Blashkun vs Andrii Droshchynskyi 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811811811––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:57 and never touched — 68.5% is still 68.5%
Graded at full timeAndrii Droshchynskyi to win
68.5%
68.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Blashkun above · Andrii Droshchynskyi below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 57 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Andrii Droshchynskyi at 68.5%
57 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Blashkun 4–8 Andrii Droshchynskyi Oleksandr Blashkun has won 4 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:57What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Droshchynskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-8 in 12
Droshchynskyi
Correct
gap of 4 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Blashkun 1601 vs Droshchynskyi 1698
Droshchynskyi
Correct
both rated, 97 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Blashkun 60% vs Droshchynskyi 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Blashkun 40% vs Droshchynskyi 70%
Droshchynskyi
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Blashkun -1 · Droshchynskyi +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Droshchynskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Blashkun form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBlashkun 2.63 / Droshchynskyi 1.44
Signal prob.32% / 69%
Edge (Droshchynskyi)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13201856
Blashkun2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 34 of 90
Down 0–1, comes back23% 13 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back12% 4 of 34
Droshchynskyi1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 81 of 127
Up 2–0, closes it89% 59 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it76% 67 of 88
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBlashkun4wins
AwayDroshchynskyi6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderDroshchynskyi leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBlashkunn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayDroshchynskyi62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Blashkun2Droshchynskyi8n = 10Droshchynskyi took 8 of 10
S2Blashkun2Droshchynskyi8n = 10Droshchynskyi took 8 of 10
S3Blashkun4Droshchynskyi6n = 10Droshchynskyi took 6 of 10
S4Blashkun3Droshchynskyi3n = 6split evenly
S5Blashkun4Droshchynskyi1n = 5Blashkun took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricBlashkunDroshchynskyiB − DBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match38.541.5−3.0per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBlashkunDroshchynskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime95 / 200 vs 135 / 23447.5%57.7%95 / 200 vs 135 / 234Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DroshchynskyiBlashkun 2.63/Droshchynskyi 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.5%
Droshchynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Droshchynskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 26 · 10:40O. Blashkun399711121A. Droshchynskyi4111115143
WAug 29 · 15:40O. Blashkun47711117113A. Droshchynskyi4211961152
WAug 13 · 14:10O. Blashkun5611121111113A. Droshchynskyi4761413682
LAug 8 · 10:40O. Blashkun2486100A. Droshchynskyi341111123
WJul 18 · 13:40O. Blashkun44641112113A. Droshchynskyi43111171042
WJul 5 · 07:30O. Blashkun47771111113A. Droshchynskyi4711119792
LJun 21 · 07:00O. Blashkun186390A. Droshchynskyi331111113
LJun 14 · 09:30O. Blashkun49111381252A. Droshchynskyi547111114113
LJun 7 · 09:30O. Blashkun2981290A. Droshchynskyi361114113
LMay 17 · 10:05O. Blashkun3291490A. Droshchynskyi381116113
O. Blashkun10
LSep 27 · 07:30O. Blashkun2.10117841O. Zhyrnov1.6771111113WSep 27 · 06:00O. Blashkun1.73126117123O. Varlamov2.001011711102LSep 27 · 04:30O. Blashkun1.6711114972Y. Makovka2.10991111113WSep 26 · 17:10M. Tiutiunnyk1.6111168742O. Blashkun2.204141111113WSep 26 · 14:40V. Ishchuk2.50117871O. Blashkun1.507111193WSep 26 · 12:40Y. Makovka2.00115791O. Blashkun1.7391111113LSep 26 · 10:40A. Droshchynskyi1.4411115143O. Blashkun2.639711121LSep 24 · 17:40Y. Holoborodko2.2081113113O. Blashkun1.611191191LSep 24 · 16:10O. Blashkun1.9110730A. Zozulia1.801211113LSep 24 · 14:10M. Tiutiunnyk1.611121011113O. Blashkun2.2041112572
A. Droshchynskyi10
WSep 27 · 08:00A. Droshchynskyi1.3011119113O. Varlamov3.40951131WSep 27 · 07:00Y. Bondarenko1.80911128102A. Droshchynskyi1.911191011123LSep 27 · 05:30A. Droshchynskyi1.83991161O. Zhyrnov1.8311117113LSep 26 · 16:40A. Droshchynskyi1.44481151V. Ishchuk2.6311114113WSep 26 · 15:10A. Droshchynskyi1.3611117113M. Tiutiunnyk3.00971171WSep 26 · 13:40A. Droshchynskyi1.201111123Y. Makovka4.3374100WSep 26 · 12:10A. Droshchynskyi1.361111123Y. Holoborodko3.0065100WSep 26 · 10:40A. Droshchynskyi1.4411115143O. Blashkun2.639711121WSep 20 · 10:30A. Droshchynskyi2.001012119113O. Kuzyshyn1.73121051172LSep 20 · 09:00A. Droshchynskyi1.6111121171R. Pomin2.2013146113
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