TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Blashkun vs Oleksandr Zhyrnov 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117711811411––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:35 and never touched — 57.8% is still 57.8%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Zhyrnov to win
57.8%
57.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Blashkun above · Oleksandr Zhyrnov below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 70 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Oleksandr Zhyrnov at 57.8%
70 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Blashkun 6–14 Oleksandr Zhyrnov Oleksandr Blashkun has won 6 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:35What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Zhyrnov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-14 in 20
Zhyrnov
Correct
gap of 8 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Blashkun 1591 vs Zhyrnov 1684
Zhyrnov
Correct
both rated, 94 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Blashkun 80% vs Zhyrnov 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Blashkun 40% vs Zhyrnov 60%
Zhyrnov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Blashkun +1 · Zhyrnov +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Zhyrnov) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zhyrnov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBlashkun 2.10 / Zhyrnov 1.67
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Zhyrnov)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13204860
Blashkun2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 34 of 90
Down 0–1, comes back23% 13 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back12% 4 of 34
Zhyrnov1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite64% won 113 of 177
Up 2–0, closes it95% 57 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it85% 87 of 103
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBlashkun4wins
AwayZhyrnov6wins
Zhyrnov leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBlashkun60%3 of 5
AwayZhyrnov80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Blashkun5Zhyrnov5n = 10split evenly
S2Blashkun5Zhyrnov5n = 10split evenly
S3Blashkun3Zhyrnov7n = 10Zhyrnov took 7 of 10
S4Blashkun3Zhyrnov4n = 7Zhyrnov took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBlashkunZhyrnovB − ZBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.235.4−2.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBlashkunZhyrnovBasisWin rate · lifetime95 / 201 vs 385 / 76547.3%50.3%95 / 201 vs 385 / 765Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZhyrnovBlashkun 2.10/Zhyrnov 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.8%
Zhyrnov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zhyrnov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 27 · 07:30O. Blashkun30117841O. Zhyrnov4071111113
WSep 23 · 15:40O. Blashkun4111811113O. Zhyrnov29711291
WAug 30 · 06:00O. Blashkun341211113O. Zhyrnov2710890
WAug 29 · 12:40O. Blashkun4314117113O. Zhyrnov331251151
LAug 16 · 09:00O. Blashkun33811771O. Zhyrnov3711411113
LJul 22 · 12:10O. Blashkun186750O. Zhyrnov331111113
LJul 19 · 04:30O. Blashkun32116871O. Zhyrnov4291111113
LJul 18 · 11:40O. Blashkun29611571O. Zhyrnov4211911113
LJul 4 · 10:40O. Blashkun2991190O. Zhyrnov351113113
WJul 2 · 13:40O. Blashkun4391211113O. Zhyrnov361110781
O. Blashkun10
LSep 27 · 09:00O. Blashkun2.638880A. Droshchynskyi1.441111113WSep 27 · 06:00O. Blashkun1.73126117123O. Varlamov2.001011711102LSep 27 · 04:30O. Blashkun1.6711114972Y. Makovka2.10991111113WSep 26 · 17:10M. Tiutiunnyk1.6111168742O. Blashkun2.204141111113WSep 26 · 14:40V. Ishchuk2.50117871O. Blashkun1.507111193WSep 26 · 12:40Y. Makovka2.00115791O. Blashkun1.7391111113LSep 26 · 10:40A. Droshchynskyi1.4411115143O. Blashkun2.639711121LSep 24 · 17:40Y. Holoborodko2.2081113113O. Blashkun1.611191191LSep 24 · 16:10O. Blashkun1.9110730A. Zozulia1.801211113LSep 24 · 14:10M. Tiutiunnyk1.611121011113O. Blashkun2.2041112572
O. Zhyrnov10
WSep 27 · 09:30Y. Bondarenko1.831184101O. Zhyrnov1.8381111123WSep 27 · 06:30O. Zhyrnov1.441111113Y. Makovka2.632760WSep 27 · 05:30A. Droshchynskyi1.83991161O. Zhyrnov1.8311117113LSep 26 · 12:20A. Derevianko1.361011148113O. Zhyrnov3.00126121162WSep 26 · 11:20V. Savoliuk1.44811118132O. Zhyrnov2.63118411153WSep 26 · 09:50M. Mrykh1.5391181182O. Zhyrnov2.38116117113LSep 26 · 07:50M. Deineha1.831111123O. Zhyrnov1.8355100LSep 26 · 05:50O. Seliuchenko1.40611129113O. Zhyrnov2.75116101152WSep 24 · 19:00O. Zhyrnov2.7511119123V. Savoliuk1.409611101WSep 24 · 17:00M. Mrykh1.444711111O. Zhyrnov2.6311117133
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