TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Andrii Droshchynskyi
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
10121210115911117
Oleh Kuzyshyn
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:40 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleh Kuzyshyn to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAndrii Droshchynskyi above · Oleh Kuzyshyn below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 98 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Oleh Kuzyshyn at 54.0%
98 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Droshchynskyi 4–8 Oleh Kuzyshyn Andrii Droshchynskyi has won 4 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:40What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kuzyshyn
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-8 in 12
Kuzyshyn
Wrong
gap of 4 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Droshchynskyi 1659 vs Kuzyshyn 1618
Droshchynskyi
Correct
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Droshchynskyi 60% vs Kuzyshyn 40%
Droshchynskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Droshchynskyi 50% vs Kuzyshyn 70%
Kuzyshyn
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Droshchynskyi -2 · Kuzyshyn -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kuzyshyn)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzyshyn form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDroshchynskyi 2.00 / Kuzyshyn 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kuzyshyn)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13161338
Droshchynskyi2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 16 of 41
Down 0–1, comes back14% 3 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Kuzyshyn1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 60 of 101
Up 2–0, closes it95% 40 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it79% 48 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDroshchynskyi3wins
AwayKuzyshyn7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKuzyshyn leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDroshchynskyi75%3 of 4
AwayKuzyshyn100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Droshchynskyi4Kuzyshyn6n = 10Kuzyshyn took 6 of 10
S2Droshchynskyi4Kuzyshyn6n = 10Kuzyshyn took 6 of 10
S3Droshchynskyi3Kuzyshyn7n = 10Kuzyshyn took 7 of 10
S4Droshchynskyi2Kuzyshyn3n = 5Kuzyshyn took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricDroshchynskyiKuzyshynD − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match31.236.3−5.1per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDroshchynskyiKuzyshynBasisWin rate · lifetime128 / 225 vs 234 / 44756.9%52.4%128 / 225 vs 234 / 447Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuzyshynDroshchynskyi 2.00/Kuzyshyn 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kuzyshyn · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Droshchynskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 19 · 11:10A. Droshchynskyi34861551O. Kuzyshyn46111113113
WSep 6 · 07:00A. Droshchynskyi3811115113O. Kuzyshyn28761141
LAug 22 · 10:40A. Droshchynskyi30711571O. Kuzyshyn4211911113
WJul 25 · 12:10A. Droshchynskyi331111113O. Kuzyshyn196490
LJul 18 · 10:40A. Droshchynskyi46111167112O. Kuzyshyn45461111133
LMay 14 · 18:20A. Droshchynskyi187380O. Kuzyshyn331111113
LMay 3 · 09:00A. Droshchynskyi169430O. Kuzyshyn331111113
LApr 11 · 12:20A. Droshchynskyi218670O. Kuzyshyn331111113
WMar 15 · 09:05A. Droshchynskyi45113911113O. Kuzyshyn4881111992
A. Droshchynskyi10
LSep 20 · 09:00A. Droshchynskyi1.6111121171R. Pomin2.2013146113LSep 20 · 07:30A. Droshchynskyi1.3311119462M. Tiutiunnyk3.25591111113WSep 20 · 06:00A. Droshchynskyi1.1711117113Y. Makovka4.50591171WSep 20 · 04:30A. Droshchynskyi1.401111113Y. Holoborodko2.756960WSep 19 · 17:40Y. Holoborodko2.6334120A. Droshchynskyi1.441111143LSep 19 · 16:10A. Droshchynskyi1.539340A. Zozulia2.381111113LSep 19 · 14:10M. Tiutiunnyk4.00981111113A. Droshchynskyi1.2211115482WSep 19 · 12:10V. Merzlikin3.754611111A. Droshchynskyi1.2511114133LSep 19 · 11:10O. Kuzyshyn1.83111113113A. Droshchynskyi1.83861551WSep 17 · 17:40A. Droshchynskyi2.00111111153I. Efimenko1.738713131
O. Kuzyshyn10
LSep 20 · 09:30O. Kuzyshyn1.6761291132M. Tiutiunnyk2.101110114113LSep 20 · 08:30O. Kuzyshyn1.44111181192Y. Holoborodko2.63133112113WSep 20 · 07:00O. Kuzyshyn2.0051112113R. Pomin1.731181051WSep 20 · 05:00O. Kuzyshyn1.2811112113Y. Makovka3.50761131LSep 19 · 16:40V. Merzlikin2.0011611113O. Kuzyshyn1.73611851WSep 19 · 15:40O. Kuzyshyn1.571211113Y. Holoborodko2.2510680WSep 19 · 14:40O. Kuzyshyn1.571111103A. Zozulia2.256590WSep 19 · 13:10O. Kuzyshyn1.80111187113M. Tiutiunnyk1.9185111172WSep 19 · 11:10O. Kuzyshyn1.83111113113A. Droshchynskyi1.83861551WSep 16 · 16:40O. Kuzyshyn2.251171210113Y. Skorobahatyi1.57411101272
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