TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Yevhen Skorobahatyi vs Yaroslav Makovka 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811118311711––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:02 and never touched: 74.7% is still 74.7%
Graded at full timeYevhen Skorobahatyi to win
74.7%
74.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYevhen Skorobahatyi above · Yaroslav Makovka below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 1-4
Point 57 set 4, 1-4 · our read held Yevhen Skorobahatyi at 74.7%
57 points drawn · the score is 13 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Yevhen Skorobahatyi 8–0 Yaroslav Makovka Yaroslav Makovka has won 0 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:0274.7%Our read77.8%to break even at 1.285
short by 3.1pp77.8% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.285 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Skorobahatyi
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
8-0 in 8
Skorobahatyi
Wrong
gap of 8 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skorobahatyi 1555 vs Makovka 1516
Skorobahatyi
Wrong
both rated, 39 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skorobahatyi 80% vs Makovka 20%
Skorobahatyi
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skorobahatyi 50% vs Makovka 30%
Skorobahatyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skorobahatyi +4 · Makovka -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% · Strong (leans Skorobahatyi) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkorobahatyi 1.285 / Makovka 3.50
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Skorobahatyi)-3.1pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13270466
Skorobahatyi1.28
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 17 of 29
Up 2–0, closes it83% 10 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it71% 15 of 21
Makovka3.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog34% won 48 of 142
Down 0–1, comes back17% 15 of 91
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeSkorobahatyi8wins
AwayMakovka0wins
1 of 8 to a deciderSkorobahatyi leads 8–0, and 1 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkorobahatyi100%7 of 7
AwayMakovkan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skorobahatyi7Makovka1n = 8Skorobahatyi took 7 of 8
S2Skorobahatyi4Makovka4n = 8split evenly
S3Skorobahatyi6Makovka1n = 7Skorobahatyi took 6 of 7
S4Skorobahatyi5Makovka0n = 5Skorobahatyi took 5 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home338%
3–1Four sets, home450%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricSkorobahatyiMakovkaS − MBasisWins80+8in 8 meetingsFirst set71+6of 8Avg pointsper match40.632.1+8.5per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkorobahatyiMakovkaBasisWin rate · lifetime107 / 240 vs 140 / 36144.6%38.8%107 / 240 vs 140 / 361Avg sets wonper match1.91.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.236.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SkorobahatyiSkorobahatyi 1.28/Makovka 3.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
74.7%
Skorobahatyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Makovka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WJul 25 · 13:10Y. Skorobahatyi4211911113Y. Makovka36711991
WApr 18 · 15:40Y. Skorobahatyi341211113Y. Makovka2510960
WSep 21 · 11:30Y. Skorobahatyi4011117113Y. Makovka35891171
WSep 14 · 09:30Y. Skorobahatyi50111311153Y. Makovka458159131
WAug 31 · 04:30Y. Skorobahatyi4211911113Y. Makovka30811741
WAug 17 · 08:30Y. Skorobahatyi43731111113Y. Makovka3711117442
WApr 27 · 08:30Y. Skorobahatyi331111113Y. Makovka174580
Y. Skorobahatyi10
WOct 10 · 13:40Y. Skorobahatyi2.201112373A. Droshchynskyi1.618101151WOct 10 · 12:10Y. Skorobahatyi1.73111110973V. Evtodiy2.0017121162WOct 10 · 10:40Y. Skorobahatyi2.2571112113M. Tiutiunnyk1.571181061WOct 3 · 16:40Y. Skorobahatyi1.6711811113R. Pomin2.10911791LOct 3 · 15:10Y. Skorobahatyi2.008111151A. Droshchynskyi1.7311138113LOct 3 · 13:40Y. Skorobahatyi2.381112771A. Zozulia1.5371411113LOct 3 · 12:10Y. Skorobahatyi1.61951191Y. Holoborodko2.2011116113WOct 3 · 10:40Y. Skorobahatyi1.731111113O. Kuzyshyn2.004380LSep 16 · 16:40O. Kuzyshyn2.251171210113Y. Skorobahatyi1.57411101272LSep 16 · 16:10Y. Skorobahatyi1.50612111162Y. Holoborodko2.50111437113
Y. Makovka10
WOct 10 · 14:10Y. Makovka1.831111102V. Evtodiy1.8356121LOct 10 · 13:10V. Merzlikin1.221111113Y. Makovka4.0048100LOct 10 · 11:40Y. Makovka4.5011590A. Droshchynskyi1.171311113LSep 27 · 11:00A. Droshchynskyi1.1711911113Y. Makovka4.50511761WSep 27 · 10:00O. Varlamov1.5795111142Y. Makovka2.25111145113LSep 27 · 08:30Y. Bondarenko1.331111113Y. Makovka3.258770LSep 27 · 06:30O. Zhyrnov1.441111113Y. Makovka2.632760WSep 27 · 04:30O. Blashkun1.6711114972Y. Makovka2.10991111113LSep 26 · 17:40Y. Makovka2.75117111172Y. Holoborodko1.40131199113WSep 26 · 15:40V. Ishchuk1.535690Y. Makovka2.381111113
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