TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Yaroslav Makovka vs Viktor Evtodiy 2-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 1
Set by set
1151161012––––
Viktor Evtodiy
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:50 and never touched: 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeViktor Evtodiy to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYaroslav Makovka above · Viktor Evtodiy below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 55 set 3, 10-12 · our read held Viktor Evtodiy at 64.5%
55 points played in total.
H2H Yaroslav Makovka 1–1 Viktor Evtodiy Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:5064.5%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833
clears by 9.9pp54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Evtodiy
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Makovka 1516 vs Evtodiy 1587
Evtodiy
Wrong
both rated, 71 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Makovka 20% vs Evtodiy 40%
Evtodiy
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Makovka 30% vs Evtodiy 60%
Evtodiy
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Makovka -3 · Evtodiy -1
Makovka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% · Clear lean (leans Evtodiy) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Evtodiy form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMakovka 1.833 / Evtodiy 1.833
Signal prob.36% / 65%
Edge (Evtodiy)+9.9pp
Setka Cup · #13270524
Makovka1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Evtodiy1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeMakovka1wins
AwayEvtodiy1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricMakovkaEvtodiyM − EBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match44.051.0−7.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMakovkaEvtodiyBasisWin rate · lifetime141 / 362 vs 12 / 2339%52.2%141 / 362 vs 12 / 23Avg sets wonper match1.72.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.138.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
EvtodiyMakovka 1.83/Evtodiy 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.5%
Evtodiy · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–1
Makovka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LMay 24 · 11:00Y. Makovka44119111032V. Evtodiy51911812113
Y. Makovka10
WOct 10 · 15:10Y. Skorobahatyi1.28811371Y. Makovka3.5011811113LOct 10 · 13:10V. Merzlikin1.221111113Y. Makovka4.0048100LOct 10 · 11:40Y. Makovka4.5011590A. Droshchynskyi1.171311113LSep 27 · 11:00A. Droshchynskyi1.1711911113Y. Makovka4.50511761WSep 27 · 10:00O. Varlamov1.5795111142Y. Makovka2.25111145113LSep 27 · 08:30Y. Bondarenko1.331111113Y. Makovka3.258770LSep 27 · 06:30O. Zhyrnov1.441111113Y. Makovka2.632760WSep 27 · 04:30O. Blashkun1.6711114972Y. Makovka2.10991111113LSep 26 · 17:40Y. Makovka2.75117111172Y. Holoborodko1.40131199113WSep 26 · 15:40V. Ishchuk1.535690Y. Makovka2.381111113
V. Evtodiy10
LOct 10 · 12:10Y. Skorobahatyi1.73111110973V. Evtodiy2.0017121162WOct 10 · 11:10V. Merzlikin1.73871131V. Evtodiy2.0011114113WAug 27 · 17:40V. Evtodiy2.0041111113Y. Holoborodko1.73119591LAug 27 · 15:40O. Zhyrnov2.0091111113V. Evtodiy1.73116591LAug 27 · 13:40O. Kuzyshyn1.731141011113V. Evtodiy2.0041112672LAug 27 · 12:40V. Evtodiy1.80111011572V. Merzlikin1.91912711113WAug 27 · 11:40Y. Volkov1.911169101V. Evtodiy1.8071111123WMay 24 · 11:00Y. Makovka2.20119111032V. Evtodiy1.61911812113WMay 24 · 10:00O. Alieksieev2.6391070V. Evtodiy1.441112113WMay 24 · 08:30O. Zhyrnov2.00117771V. Evtodiy1.7391111113
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