TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Antonin Schneeberger vs Vaclav Rybar 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 9Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115113115––––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:12 and never touched: 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeAntonin Schneeberger to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingAntonin Schneeberger above · Vaclav Rybar below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 46 set 3, 11-5 · our read held Antonin Schneeberger at 57.7%
46 points played in total.
H2H Antonin Schneeberger 1–0 Vaclav Rybar Vaclav Rybar has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:1257.7%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615
short by 4.2pp61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Schneeberger
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Schneeberger 1372 vs Rybar 1321
Schneeberger
Correct
both rated, 51 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Schneeberger 80% vs Rybar 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Schneeberger 70% vs Rybar 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Schneeberger +2 · Rybar -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% · Slight lean (leans Schneeberger) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rybar form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSchneeberger 1.615 / Rybar 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Schneeberger)-4.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13264721
Schneeberger1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 66 of 101
Up 2–0, closes it89% 31 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it78% 47 of 60
Rybar2.20
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog50% won 8 of 16
Down 0–1, comes back30% 3 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSchneeberger1wins
AwayRybar0wins
Schneeberger leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSchneebergerRybarS − RBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.013.0+20.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSchneebergerRybarBasisWin rate · lifetime139 / 301 vs 31 / 5546.2%56.4%139 / 301 vs 31 / 55Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SchneebergerSchneeberger 1.61/Rybar 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Schneeberger · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Schneeberger won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WOct 9 · 12:30A. Schneeberger331111113V. Rybar135350
A. Schneeberger10
WOct 9 · 11:00A. Schneeberger1.401111113Z. Luksa2.755490WOct 9 · 10:00V. Kocian3.001181211102A. Schneeberger1.361311108123LOct 8 · 21:28P. Hanel1.25711117113A. Schneeberger3.7511961192WOct 8 · 20:00R. Guliak2.1011410101A. Schneeberger1.6771112123WOct 8 · 19:00M. Jasek1.30118861A. Schneeberger3.1561111113LOct 8 · 18:29A. Schneeberger3.75117981P. Hanel1.2571111113WOct 5 · 13:30J. Stach1.45511471A. Schneeberger2.5011711113WOct 5 · 12:30M. Levicky2.75118881A. Schneeberger1.4081111113LOct 5 · 11:30A. Schneeberger3.00116121152J. Stach1.36711149113WOct 5 · 10:30Z. Zientek2.10116421A. Schneeberger1.6761111113
V. Rybar10
WOct 9 · 13:00V. Rybar1.401211113Z. Luksa2.7510180LOct 9 · 11:30V. Rybar1.5310870V. Kocian2.381211113WOct 9 · 10:30Z. Luksa2.507530V. Rybar1.501111113WOct 3 · 13:30V. Rybar1.4311118113M. Blaha2.60571161WOct 3 · 12:00P. Banot1.401110711112V. Rybar2.75812118133WOct 3 · 11:00Z. Luksa2.00911591V. Rybar1.7311911113WOct 3 · 10:30V. Rybar1.571111113M. Blaha2.259680WOct 2 · 21:30V. Rybar1.75124114113M. Derco1.95101191182WOct 2 · 20:00V. Rybar1.6791111113Z. Luksa2.10114921LOct 2 · 19:30M. Derco2.0011114123V. Rybar1.738311101
Upcoming Matches
A. Schneeberger
V. Rybar
Nothing scheduled
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