TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Zdenek Luksa vs Vaclav Rybar 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911119511911––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:54 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVaclav Rybar to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingZdenek Luksa above · Vaclav Rybar below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 76 set 4, 9-11 · our read held Vaclav Rybar at 54.0%
76 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Luksa 0–1 Vaclav Rybar Zdenek Luksa has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:5454.0%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 3.9pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Rybar
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Luksa 1277 vs Rybar 1308
Rybar
Correct
both rated, 30 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Luksa 60% vs Rybar 80%
Rybar
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Luksa 70% vs Rybar 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Luksa +1 · Rybar +3
Rybar
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Rybar) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rybar form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLuksa 2.00 / Rybar 1.727
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Rybar)-3.9pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13233605
Luksa2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog58% won 26 of 45
Down 0–1, comes back39% 11 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back17% 2 of 12
Rybar1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 18 of 29
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it88% 14 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeLuksa0wins
AwayRybar1wins
Rybar leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricLuksaRybarL − RBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match26.042.0−16.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLuksaRybarBasisWin rate · lifetime68 / 136 vs 27 / 4950%55.1%68 / 136 vs 27 / 49Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
RybarLuksa 2.00/Rybar 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Rybar · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Rybar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LOct 2 · 20:00Z. Luksa26114921V. Rybar4291111113
Z. Luksa10
WOct 3 · 10:00P. Banot1.44871161Z. Luksa2.6311117113LOct 2 · 21:00Z. Luksa1.5741116562T. Navrat2.251181411113LOct 2 · 20:00V. Rybar1.6791111113Z. Luksa2.10114921WOct 2 · 19:00T. Navrat1.9111913101Z. Luksa1.80131111123WOct 2 · 18:30Z. Luksa2.1051111113M. Derco1.67118361WSep 30 · 09:28Z. Luksa1.4413118113M. Stolba2.631181181WSep 30 · 08:00Z. Luksa1.30118711113J. Toth3.4091111462WSep 30 · 07:30M. Stolba2.6381161192Z. Luksa1.44114118113WSep 30 · 06:00Z. Luksa1.61118817113A. Kanak2.20811111592LSep 29 · 13:30Z. Luksa1.61111191182A. Kanak2.20134113113
V. Rybar10
WOct 3 · 10:30V. Rybar1.571111113M. Blaha2.259680WOct 2 · 21:30V. Rybar1.75124114113M. Derco1.95101191182WOct 2 · 20:00V. Rybar1.6791111113Z. Luksa2.10114921LOct 2 · 19:30M. Derco2.0011114123V. Rybar1.738311101WOct 2 · 18:00V. Rybar1.361111113T. Navrat3.008750LSep 17 · 09:00V. Rybar1.5094140M. Levicky2.501111163LSep 17 · 08:30M. Kaspar1.671111113V. Rybar2.102250LSep 17 · 07:30V. Rybar2.008830P. Banot1.731111113WSep 17 · 06:30M. Levicky2.005840V. Rybar1.731111113WSep 14 · 08:58M. Derco1.67118881V. Rybar2.1091111113
Upcoming Matches
Z. Luksa
V. Rybar
Nothing scheduled
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