TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Matej Levicky vs Antonin Schneeberger 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118811811811––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:26 and never touched: 67.9% is still 67.9%
Graded at full timeAntonin Schneeberger to win
67.9%
67.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingMatej Levicky above · Antonin Schneeberger below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 76 set 4, 8-11 · our read held Antonin Schneeberger at 67.9%
76 points played in total.
H2H Matej Levicky 1–8 Antonin Schneeberger Matej Levicky has won 1 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:2667.9%Our read71.4%to break even at 1.40
short by 3.5pp71.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.40 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Schneeberger
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-8 in 9
Schneeberger
Correct
gap of 7 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Levicky 1289 vs Schneeberger 1300
Schneeberger
Correct
both rated, 11 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Levicky 20% vs Schneeberger 60%
Schneeberger
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Levicky 50% vs Schneeberger 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Levicky -3 · Schneeberger -1
Levicky
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% · Clear lean (leans Schneeberger) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Schneeberger form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLevicky 2.75 / Schneeberger 1.40
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Schneeberger)-3.5pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13243769
Levicky2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 40 of 106
Down 0–1, comes back25% 16 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 34
Schneeberger1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite64% won 65 of 101
Up 2–0, closes it89% 31 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it79% 48 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeLevicky1wins
AwaySchneeberger8wins
2 of 9 to a deciderSchneeberger leads 8–1, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLevicky33.3%1 of 3
AwaySchneeberger100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Levicky3Schneeberger6n = 9Schneeberger took 6 of 9
S2Levicky3Schneeberger6n = 9Schneeberger took 6 of 9
S3Levicky4Schneeberger5n = 9Schneeberger took 5 of 9
S4Levicky1Schneeberger5n = 6Schneeberger took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away444%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricLevickySchneebergerL − SBasisWins18−7in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match31.639.1−7.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLevickySchneebergerBasisWin rate · lifetime211 / 406 vs 132 / 29252%45.2%211 / 406 vs 132 / 292Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SchneebergerLevicky 2.75/Schneeberger 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.9%
Schneeberger · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Schneeberger won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LOct 3 · 19:00M. Levicky227870A. Schneeberger331111113
LSep 6 · 09:00M. Levicky4346121292A. Schneeberger5311111010113
LSep 6 · 06:30M. Levicky215790A. Schneeberger331111113
WAug 5 · 13:29M. Levicky331111113A. Schneeberger184680
LAug 5 · 12:30M. Levicky28791111A. Schneeberger3811115113
LJun 6 · 11:30M. Levicky31812831A. Schneeberger43111011113
LMar 13 · 12:30M. Levicky3811125732A. Schneeberger507101111113
LFeb 26 · 14:30M. Levicky33118681A. Schneeberger4291111113
LFeb 26 · 12:00M. Levicky359111141A. Schneeberger4211137113
M. Levicky10
LOct 5 · 13:11Z. Zientek1.50913811113M. Levicky2.50111111782LOct 5 · 11:00M. Levicky2.25112891Z. Zientek1.57111011113LOct 5 · 10:00J. Stach1.4471111113M. Levicky2.63118661LOct 3 · 20:59M. Levicky2.20119761Z. Zientek1.6141111113WOct 3 · 20:00Z. Zientek1.53111411362M. Levicky2.38816611113LOct 3 · 19:00A. Schneeberger1.501111113M. Levicky2.507870LOct 3 · 18:30M. Levicky1.619780D. Kolek2.201111113WOct 3 · 17:30M. Levicky2.25111133113P. Banot1.5787111182WOct 3 · 16:30M. Levicky1.50146119113R. Adamczyk2.50121191192WOct 3 · 15:00M. Levicky1.91111011113P. Banot1.80612561
A. Schneeberger10
WOct 5 · 13:30J. Stach1.45511471A. Schneeberger2.5011711113LOct 5 · 11:30A. Schneeberger3.00116121152J. Stach1.36711149113WOct 5 · 10:30Z. Zientek2.10116421A. Schneeberger1.6761111113WOct 3 · 21:29D. Kolek1.83118917102A. Schneeberger1.838111115123LOct 3 · 20:30A. Schneeberger1.6196111262D. Kolek2.201111510113WOct 3 · 19:00A. Schneeberger1.501111113M. Levicky2.507870WOct 3 · 18:00Z. Zientek2.0011851162A. Schneeberger1.73811115113LOct 3 · 09:00M. Kolek1.36114311113A. Schneeberger3.0051111682LOct 3 · 08:30A. Virag1.3612211113A. Schneeberger3.001011781LOct 3 · 07:30A. Schneeberger2.63911111152R. Kvasnicka1.44111398113
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