TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Matej Levicky vs Dalibor Kolek 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 7
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911711811––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:15 and never touched: 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeMatej Levicky to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMatej Levicky above · Dalibor Kolek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 57 set 3, 8-11 · our read held Matej Levicky at 57.7%
57 points played in total.
H2H Matej Levicky 2–0 Dalibor Kolek Dalibor Kolek has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Levicky beat Kolek 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:1557.7%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615
short by 4.2pp61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Levicky
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Levicky 1329 vs Kolek 1277
Levicky
Wrong
both rated, 52 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Levicky 100% vs Kolek 20%
Levicky
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Levicky 90% vs Kolek 40%
Levicky
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Levicky +7 · Kolek -2
Levicky
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% · Slight lean (leans Levicky) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolek form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLevicky 1.615 / Kolek 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Levicky)-4.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13233228
Levicky1.61
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 7
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite67% won 58 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it89% 32 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it80% 45 of 56
Kolek2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog32% won 6 of 19
Down 0–1, comes back18% 2 of 11
Down 0–2, comes back10% 1 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeLevicky2wins
AwayKolek0wins
Levicky leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricLevickyKolekL − KBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match34.025.0+9.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLevickyKolekBasisWin rate · lifetime210 / 400 vs 16 / 4452.5%36.4%210 / 400 vs 16 / 44Avg sets wonper match2.11.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.735.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
LevickyLevicky 1.61/Kolek 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Levicky · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kolek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 15 · 15:30M. Levicky341112113D. Kolek2561090
M. Levicky10
LOct 3 · 19:00A. Schneeberger1.501111113M. Levicky2.507870WOct 3 · 17:30M. Levicky2.25111133113P. Banot1.5787111182WOct 3 · 16:30M. Levicky1.50146119113R. Adamczyk2.50121191192WOct 3 · 15:00M. Levicky1.91111011113P. Banot1.80612561WOct 3 · 14:00D. Kolek2.201191161M. Levicky1.6191113113WSep 29 · 13:30M. Levicky2.1011511113V. Kocian1.67911861WSep 29 · 12:00M. Levicky2.501111113P. Banot1.507980WSep 29 · 11:30R. Adamczyk2.38912591M. Levicky1.53111011113LSep 29 · 10:00M. Levicky2.1051181262V. Kocian1.671171110113WSep 27 · 21:29M. Levicky1.611313113R. Adamczyk2.20111150
D. Kolek10
LOct 3 · 17:00R. Adamczyk2.301211113D. Kolek1.5510670LOct 3 · 16:00D. Kolek1.619740P. Banot2.201111113WOct 3 · 15:30R. Adamczyk2.20481141D. Kolek1.6111119113LOct 3 · 14:00D. Kolek2.201191161M. Levicky1.6191113113LSep 30 · 13:30P. Varecha1.4891111113D. Kolek2.45117791WSep 30 · 12:30J. Stach1.6771211552D. Kolek2.101110811113LSep 30 · 11:30D. Kolek2.25115981P. Varecha1.5741111113WSep 30 · 10:30E. Sionkala1.44119811102D. Kolek2.63811119123WSep 12 · 12:58A. Schneeberger1.50111191252D. Kolek2.50971114113LSep 12 · 12:30A. Schneeberger1.67111111113D. Kolek2.10139841
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