TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Radek Adamczyk vs Dalibor Kolek 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
411811119411––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:20 and never touched: 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeDalibor Kolek to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Adamczyk above · Dalibor Kolek below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 1-8
Point 63 set 4, 1-8 · our read held Dalibor Kolek at 57.7%
63 points drawn · the score is 6 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:2057.7%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615
short by 4.2pp61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)
What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kolek
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Adamczyk 1297 vs Kolek 1295
Adamczyk
Wrong
both rated, 2 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamczyk 40% vs Kolek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamczyk 50% vs Kolek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamczyk +1 · Kolek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% · Slight lean (leans Kolek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolek form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamczyk 2.20 / Kolek 1.615
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Kolek)-4.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13233853
Adamczyk2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 18 of 40
Down 0–1, comes back23% 5 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back15% 2 of 13
Kolek1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamczykKolekBasisWin rate · lifetime53 / 101 vs 15 / 4152.5%36.6%53 / 101 vs 15 / 41Avg sets wonper match2.11.6per matchAvg pointsper match38.436.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KolekAdamczyk 2.20/Kolek 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Kolek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kolek won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
R. Adamczyk10
WOct 3 · 14:30P. Banot1.57111171162R. Adamczyk2.25713113113LSep 29 · 12:58P. Banot1.731111113R. Adamczyk2.008770WSep 29 · 12:30V. Kocian1.7345100R. Adamczyk2.001111123LSep 29 · 11:30R. Adamczyk2.38912591M. Levicky1.53111011113LSep 29 · 10:30P. Banot2.001111113R. Adamczyk1.739950LSep 27 · 21:29M. Levicky1.611313113R. Adamczyk2.20111150LSep 27 · 20:30M. Levicky1.831114113R. Adamczyk1.8361280WSep 27 · 19:30R. Adamczyk2.5011912113V. Kocian1.508111011WSep 27 · 18:30P. Banot1.6769100R. Adamczyk2.101111123WSep 26 · 17:30R. Adamczyk1.601211113Z. Luksa2.2010690
D. Kolek10
LOct 3 · 16:00D. Kolek1.619740P. Banot2.201111113LOct 3 · 14:00D. Kolek2.201191161M. Levicky1.6191113113LSep 30 · 13:30P. Varecha1.4891111113D. Kolek2.45117791WSep 30 · 12:30J. Stach1.6771211552D. Kolek2.101110811113LSep 30 · 11:30D. Kolek2.25115981P. Varecha1.5741111113WSep 30 · 10:30E. Sionkala1.44119811102D. Kolek2.63811119123WSep 12 · 12:58A. Schneeberger1.50111191252D. Kolek2.50971114113LSep 12 · 12:30A. Schneeberger1.67111111113D. Kolek2.10139841WSep 12 · 11:30D. Kolek2.63111148113R. Kvasnicka1.4499111172LSep 12 · 10:30D. Priesol1.73411116113D. Kolek2.0011641132
Upcoming Matches
R. Adamczyk
Nothing scheduled
D. Kolek
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