TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Radek Adamczyk vs Vojtech Kocian 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1189111210111––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:26 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeVojtech Kocian to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadek Adamczyk above · Vojtech Kocian below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-1
Point 73 set 4, 11-1 — our read held Vojtech Kocian at 62.5%
73 points played in total.
H2H Radek Adamczyk 0–3 Vojtech Kocian Radek Adamczyk has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:26What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kocian
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Kocian
Wrong
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamczyk 1335 vs Kocian 1317
Adamczyk
Correct
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamczyk 80% vs Kocian 40%
Adamczyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamczyk 80% vs Kocian 50%
Adamczyk
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamczyk +3 · Kocian -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Kocian)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kocian form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamczyk 2.50 / Kocian 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Kocian)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13200596
Adamczyk2.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog46% won 16 of 35
Down 0–1, comes back30% 6 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back18% 2 of 11
Kocian1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite68% won 43 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it88% 15 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it78% 29 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeAdamczyk0wins
AwayKocian3wins
1 of 3 to a deciderKocian leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamczykn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayKocian100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamczyk0Kocian3n = 3Kocian took 3 of 3
S2Adamczyk1Kocian2n = 3Kocian took 2 of 3
S3Adamczyk1Kocian2n = 3Kocian took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricAdamczykKocianA − KBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match33.741.7−8.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamczykKocianBasisWin rate · lifetime50 / 93 vs 94 / 18253.8%51.7%50 / 93 vs 94 / 182Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KocianAdamczyk 2.50/Kocian 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.5%
Kocian · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Adamczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 22 · 19:00R. Adamczyk48131181152V. Kocian55159119113
LAug 4 · 18:00R. Adamczyk208840V. Kocian331111113
LAug 1 · 06:00R. Adamczyk331041181V. Kocian3712113113
R. Adamczyk10
WSep 27 · 18:30P. Banot1.6769100R. Adamczyk2.101111123WSep 26 · 17:30R. Adamczyk1.601211113Z. Luksa2.2010690WSep 26 · 16:00R. Adamczyk1.671113113M. Derco2.1051140LSep 26 · 15:30Z. Luksa2.251171110113R. Adamczyk1.5771161292WSep 26 · 14:00R. Adamczyk1.5011812143M. Blaha2.5071110121WSep 14 · 21:30R. Adamczyk1.57141159113T. Navrat2.25126111172WSep 14 · 20:00R. Adamczyk1.831311113T. Navrat1.8311720WSep 14 · 19:30M. Blaha2.00611111162R. Adamczyk1.73111388113WSep 14 · 18:00R. Adamczyk1.401111113A. Kanak2.756470LSep 12 · 17:30R. Adamczyk1.50139118102Z. Luksa2.501111711123
V. Kocian10
WSep 27 · 20:00V. Kocian1.531113168113P. Banot2.38811181132LSep 27 · 18:00V. Kocian1.5711751172M. Levicky2.25711117113LSep 25 · 13:30A. Virag1.251111113V. Kocian3.757750LSep 25 · 12:00A. Virag1.2811119113V. Kocian3.50621191WSep 25 · 11:00P. Banot2.251188111V. Kocian1.5761111133WSep 25 · 10:30V. Kocian1.571061311113M. Levicky2.25121111842WSep 16 · 13:00V. Kocian3.75791111113Z. Balusek1.2511118982LSep 16 · 12:00V. Kocian3.256911141A. Schneeberger1.3311117163WSep 16 · 11:30Z. Zientek2.2511411672V. Kocian1.57711811113LSep 16 · 10:00V. Kocian2.10911781Z. Balusek1.6711311113
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