TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Vojtech Kocian vs Petr Banot 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11813111618811113
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:56 and never touched — 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timeVojtech Kocian to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVojtech Kocian above · Petr Banot below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 16-18
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-3
Point 110 set 5, 11-3 — our read held Vojtech Kocian at 62.0%
110 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Kocian 5–2 Petr Banot Petr Banot has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:56What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Kocian
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-2 in 7
Kocian
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kocian 1296 vs Banot 1299
Banot
Wrong
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kocian 20% vs Banot 40%
Banot
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kocian 40% vs Banot 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kocian -4 · Banot +1
Kocian
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Kocian)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kocian form (20%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKocian 1.53 / Banot 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Kocian)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13201043
Kocian1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite68% won 43 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it88% 15 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it78% 29 of 37
Banot2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 13 of 36
Down 0–1, comes back27% 6 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back15% 2 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKocian5wins
AwayBanot2wins
2 of 7 to a deciderKocian leads 5–2, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKocian50%2 of 4
AwayBanot0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kocian4Banot3n = 7Kocian took 4 of 7
S2Kocian6Banot1n = 7Kocian took 6 of 7
S3Kocian5Banot2n = 7Kocian took 5 of 7
S4Kocian4Banot2n = 6Kocian took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home457%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricKocianBanotK − BBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match40.935.6+5.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKocianBanotBasisWin rate · lifetime94 / 183 vs 56 / 11851.4%47.5%94 / 183 vs 56 / 118Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KocianKocian 1.53/Banot 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62%
Kocian · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kocian won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 25 · 11:00V. Kocian4161111133P. Banot381188111
LAug 1 · 09:30V. Kocian4414118562P. Banot511261111113
LAug 1 · 07:30V. Kocian4311711682P. Banot46511811113
WJul 17 · 21:30V. Kocian4011117113P. Banot32951171
WJul 17 · 20:30V. Kocian4291111113P. Banot34117791
WApr 2 · 12:58V. Kocian43101111113P. Banot26124551
WApr 2 · 12:30V. Kocian331111113P. Banot227960
V. Kocian10
LSep 27 · 19:30R. Adamczyk2.5011912113V. Kocian1.508111011LSep 27 · 18:00V. Kocian1.5711751172M. Levicky2.25711117113LSep 25 · 13:30A. Virag1.251111113V. Kocian3.757750LSep 25 · 12:00A. Virag1.2811119113V. Kocian3.50621191WSep 25 · 11:00P. Banot2.251188111V. Kocian1.5761111133WSep 25 · 10:30V. Kocian1.571061311113M. Levicky2.25121111842WSep 16 · 13:00V. Kocian3.75791111113Z. Balusek1.2511118982LSep 16 · 12:00V. Kocian3.256911141A. Schneeberger1.3311117163WSep 16 · 11:30Z. Zientek2.2511411672V. Kocian1.57711811113LSep 16 · 10:00V. Kocian2.10911781Z. Balusek1.6711311113
P. Banot10
WSep 27 · 19:00M. Levicky2.208121161P. Banot1.6111145113LSep 27 · 18:30P. Banot1.6769100R. Adamczyk2.101111123LSep 25 · 12:59P. Banot1.539870M. Levicky2.381111113WSep 25 · 12:30P. Banot1.44117118163M. Levicky2.63511811142LSep 25 · 11:00P. Banot2.251188111V. Kocian1.5761111133LSep 25 · 10:00A. Virag1.441111113P. Banot2.638680LSep 17 · 09:30M. Kaspar1.65612129113P. Banot2.101110101172WSep 17 · 08:00P. Banot1.44117117113M. Levicky2.6381171162WSep 17 · 07:30V. Rybar2.008830P. Banot1.731111113LSep 17 · 06:00P. Banot2.1010151181M. Kaspar1.67121313113
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