TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Petr Banot vs Radek Adamczyk 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1171113711113611
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:25 and never touched: 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timePetr Banot to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPetr Banot above · Radek Adamczyk below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-3
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 91 set 5, 6-11 · our read held Petr Banot at 54.9%
91 points played in total.
H2H Petr Banot 5–4 Radek Adamczyk Radek Adamczyk has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:2554.9%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571
short by 8.8pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Banot
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
5-4 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Banot 1261 vs Adamczyk 1287
Adamczyk
Correct
both rated, 27 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Banot 20% vs Adamczyk 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Banot 30% vs Adamczyk 50%
Adamczyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Banot -4 · Adamczyk -1
Banot
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% · Coin-flip (leans Banot) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamczyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBanot 1.571 / Adamczyk 2.25
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Adamczyk)+0.7pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13233213
Banot1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 23 of 36
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it82% 22 of 27
Adamczyk2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Sep 29)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 18 of 40
Down 0–1, comes back23% 5 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back15% 2 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeBanot5wins
AwayAdamczyk4wins
2 of 9 to a deciderBanot leads 5–4, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBanot71.4%5 of 7
AwayAdamczykn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Banot7Adamczyk2n = 9Banot took 7 of 9
S2Banot3Adamczyk6n = 9Adamczyk took 6 of 9
S3Banot8Adamczyk1n = 9Banot took 8 of 9
S4Banot2Adamczyk3n = 5Adamczyk took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home333%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricBanotAdamczykB − ABasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set72+5of 9Avg pointsper match38.735.6+3.1per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBanotAdamczykBasisWin rate · lifetime59 / 128 vs 52 / 10046.1%52%59 / 128 vs 52 / 100Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BanotBanot 1.57/Adamczyk 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.9%
Banot · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Adamczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 29 · 12:58P. Banot331111113R. Adamczyk228770
WSep 29 · 10:30P. Banot331111113R. Adamczyk239950
LSep 27 · 18:30P. Banot2569100R. Adamczyk341111123
WAug 9 · 09:28P. Banot45111211113R. Adamczyk24514321
WAug 9 · 06:00P. Banot4311911123R. Adamczyk356118101
LAug 1 · 08:30P. Banot4312811392R. Adamczyk521011911113
LJul 14 · 08:00P. Banot4091011101R. Adamczyk4311128123
WJun 27 · 08:00P. Banot371311133R. Adamczyk31119110
LJun 23 · 06:30P. Banot49115131282R. Adamczyk569111114113
P. Banot10
LOct 3 · 15:00M. Levicky1.91111011113P. Banot1.80612561LOct 3 · 12:59Z. Luksa2.051111107113P. Banot1.6899121172LOct 3 · 12:00P. Banot1.401110711112V. Rybar2.75812118133LOct 3 · 11:30M. Blaha2.6311911113P. Banot1.44611911LOct 3 · 10:00P. Banot1.44871161Z. Luksa2.6311117113WSep 29 · 12:58P. Banot1.731111113R. Adamczyk2.008770LSep 29 · 12:00M. Levicky2.501111113P. Banot1.507980LSep 29 · 11:00V. Kocian1.736111111113P. Banot2.0011813872WSep 29 · 10:30P. Banot2.001111113R. Adamczyk1.739950WSep 27 · 21:00V. Kocian1.5796100P. Banot2.251111123
R. Adamczyk10
LOct 3 · 15:30R. Adamczyk2.20481141D. Kolek1.6111119113LSep 29 · 12:58P. Banot1.731111113R. Adamczyk2.008770WSep 29 · 12:30V. Kocian1.7345100R. Adamczyk2.001111123LSep 29 · 11:30R. Adamczyk2.38912591M. Levicky1.53111011113LSep 29 · 10:30P. Banot2.001111113R. Adamczyk1.739950LSep 27 · 21:29M. Levicky1.611313113R. Adamczyk2.20111150LSep 27 · 20:30M. Levicky1.831114113R. Adamczyk1.8361280WSep 27 · 19:30R. Adamczyk2.5011912113V. Kocian1.508111011WSep 27 · 18:30P. Banot1.6769100R. Adamczyk2.101111123WSep 26 · 17:30R. Adamczyk1.601211113Z. Luksa2.2010690
Upcoming Matches
P. Banot
Nothing scheduled
R. Adamczyk
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