TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Michal Blaha vs Petr Banot 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116911119111––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:18 and never touched: 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timePetr Banot to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Blaha above · Petr Banot below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-1
Point 69 set 4, 11-1 · our read held Petr Banot at 64.5%
69 points played in total.
H2H Michal Blaha 0–4 Petr Banot Michal Blaha has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:1864.5%Our read69.3%to break even at 1.444
short by 4.8pp69.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.444 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Banot
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-4 in 4
Banot
Wrong
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Blaha 1253 vs Banot 1294
Banot
Wrong
both rated, 41 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Blaha 60% vs Banot 40%
Blaha
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Blaha 70% vs Banot 40%
Blaha
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Blaha -1 · Banot -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% · Clear lean (leans Banot) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Banot form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBlaha 2.625 / Banot 1.444
Signal prob.36% / 65%
Edge (Banot)-4.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13233578
Blaha2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog26% won 11 of 43
Down 0–1, comes back19% 5 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back13% 2 of 16
Banot1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 23 of 36
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it82% 22 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeBlaha0wins
AwayBanot4wins
2 of 4 to a deciderBanot leads 4–0, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Blaha2Banot2n = 4split evenly
S2Blaha1Banot3n = 4Banot took 3 of 4
S3Blaha2Banot2n = 4split evenly
S4Blaha1Banot3n = 4Banot took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away250%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricBlahaBanotBlaha − BanotBasisWins04−4in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match35.046.5−11.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBlahaBanotBasisWin rate · lifetime100 / 200 vs 59 / 12550%47.2%100 / 200 vs 59 / 125Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BanotBlaha 2.63/Banot 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.5%
Banot · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Blaha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 16 · 09:29M. Blaha26631161P. Banot4211119113
LAug 16 · 08:00M. Blaha24116701P. Banot4291111113
LAug 1 · 06:30M. Blaha51137111192P. Banot51151186113
LApr 26 · 12:30M. Blaha3911117372P. Banot51991111113
M. Blaha10
WOct 3 · 12:30Z. Luksa1.9181180M. Blaha1.801113113LOct 3 · 10:30V. Rybar1.571111113M. Blaha2.259680WSep 26 · 17:06M. Blaha1.631211113M. Derco2.1310560WSep 26 · 16:30M. Blaha1.83511411113Z. Luksa1.8311911692WSep 26 · 15:00M. Blaha1.531211116113M. Derco2.3814981182LSep 26 · 14:00R. Adamczyk1.5011812143M. Blaha2.5071110121LSep 22 · 21:30M. Blaha1.65117761Z. Luksa2.1081111113WSep 22 · 20:00M. Blaha1.831313113Z. Luksa1.83111190WSep 22 · 19:30M. Stolba3.25781141M. Blaha1.3311119113WSep 22 · 18:00M. Blaha1.441111113S. Blabla2.636560
P. Banot10
LOct 3 · 12:00P. Banot1.401110711112V. Rybar2.75812118133LOct 3 · 10:00P. Banot1.44871161Z. Luksa2.6311117113WSep 29 · 12:58P. Banot1.731111113R. Adamczyk2.008770LSep 29 · 12:00M. Levicky2.501111113P. Banot1.507980LSep 29 · 11:00V. Kocian1.736111111113P. Banot2.0011813872WSep 29 · 10:30P. Banot2.001111113R. Adamczyk1.739950WSep 27 · 21:00V. Kocian1.5796100P. Banot2.251111123LSep 27 · 20:00V. Kocian1.531113168113P. Banot2.38811181132WSep 27 · 19:00M. Levicky2.208121161P. Banot1.6111145113LSep 27 · 18:30P. Banot1.6769100R. Adamczyk2.101111123
Upcoming Matches
M. Blaha
Nothing scheduled
P. Banot
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