TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Zdenek Luksa vs Michal Blaha 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8111113811––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:19 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Blaha to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingZdenek Luksa above · Michal Blaha below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 62 set 3, 8-11 · our read held Michal Blaha at 54.0%
62 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Luksa 3–6 Michal Blaha Zdenek Luksa has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:1954.0%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80
short by 1.6pp55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Blaha
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
3-6 in 9
Blaha
Correct
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Luksa 1267 vs Blaha 1266
Luksa
Wrong
both rated, 1 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Luksa 40% vs Blaha 80%
Blaha
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Luksa 70% vs Blaha 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Luksa -1 · Blaha +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Blaha) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Blaha form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLuksa 1.909 / Blaha 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Blaha)-1.6pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13233232
Luksa1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog58% won 26 of 45
Down 0–1, comes back39% 11 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back17% 2 of 12
Blaha1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 29 of 42
Up 2–0, closes it88% 14 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it83% 19 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeLuksa3wins
AwayBlaha6wins
4 of 9 to a deciderBlaha leads 6–3, and 4 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLuksa33.3%1 of 3
AwayBlaha66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Luksa3Blaha6n = 9Blaha took 6 of 9
S2Luksa3Blaha6n = 9Blaha took 6 of 9
S3Luksa6Blaha3n = 9Luksa took 6 of 9
S4Luksa5Blaha1n = 6Luksa took 5 of 6
S5Luksa0Blaha4n = 4Blaha took 4 of 4
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away444%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricLuksaBlahaL − BBasisWins36−3in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match38.238.9−0.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLuksaBlahaBasisWin rate · lifetime68 / 137 vs 101 / 20149.6%50.3%68 / 137 vs 101 / 201Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BlahaLuksa 1.91/Blaha 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Blaha · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Blaha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 26 · 16:30Z. Luksa4611911692M. Blaha42511411113
WSep 22 · 21:30Z. Luksa4181111113M. Blaha31117761
LSep 22 · 20:00Z. Luksa31111190M. Blaha371313113
WSep 12 · 15:30Z. Luksa4171112113M. Blaha371191071
LAug 27 · 12:00Z. Luksa4711971192M. Blaha51911119113
WMay 1 · 14:30Z. Luksa341111123M. Blaha2082100
LMar 29 · 07:00Z. Luksa195950M. Blaha331111113
LMar 12 · 10:00Z. Luksa4046121172M. Blaha491111106113
LMar 12 · 08:30Z. Luksa45491111102M. Blaha50111197123
Z. Luksa10
WOct 3 · 12:59Z. Luksa2.051111107113P. Banot1.6899121172LOct 3 · 11:00Z. Luksa2.00911591V. Rybar1.7311911113WOct 3 · 10:00P. Banot1.44871161Z. Luksa2.6311117113LOct 2 · 21:00Z. Luksa1.5741116562T. Navrat2.251181411113LOct 2 · 20:00V. Rybar1.6791111113Z. Luksa2.10114921WOct 2 · 19:00T. Navrat1.9111913101Z. Luksa1.80131111123WOct 2 · 18:30Z. Luksa2.1051111113M. Derco1.67118361WSep 30 · 09:28Z. Luksa1.4413118113M. Stolba2.631181181WSep 30 · 08:00Z. Luksa1.30118711113J. Toth3.4091111462WSep 30 · 07:30M. Stolba2.6381161192Z. Luksa1.44114118113
M. Blaha10
WOct 3 · 11:30M. Blaha2.6311911113P. Banot1.44611911LOct 3 · 10:30V. Rybar1.571111113M. Blaha2.259680WSep 26 · 17:06M. Blaha1.631211113M. Derco2.1310560WSep 26 · 16:30M. Blaha1.83511411113Z. Luksa1.8311911692WSep 26 · 15:00M. Blaha1.531211116113M. Derco2.3814981182LSep 26 · 14:00R. Adamczyk1.5011812143M. Blaha2.5071110121LSep 22 · 21:30M. Blaha1.65117761Z. Luksa2.1081111113WSep 22 · 20:00M. Blaha1.831313113Z. Luksa1.83111190WSep 22 · 19:30M. Stolba3.25781141M. Blaha1.3311119113WSep 22 · 18:00M. Blaha1.441111113S. Blabla2.636560
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