TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Michal Blaha vs Michal Derco 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210115116––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingMichal Blaha above · Michal Derco below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 55 set 3, 11-6
55 points played in total.
H2H Michal Blaha 5–0 Michal Derco Michal Derco has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Blaha beat Derco 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Blaha)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBlaha 1.63 / Derco 2.13
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Blaha)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13201511
Blaha1.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 29 of 42
Up 2–0, closes it88% 14 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it83% 19 of 23
Derco2.13
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog48% won 14 of 29
Down 0–1, comes back36% 5 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeBlaha5wins
AwayDerco0wins
2 of 5 to a deciderBlaha leads 5–0, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBlaha100%3 of 3
AwayDercon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Blaha3Derco2n = 5Blaha took 3 of 5
S2Blaha4Derco1n = 5Blaha took 4 of 5
S3Blaha3Derco2n = 5Blaha took 3 of 5
S4Blaha3Derco1n = 4Blaha took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home240%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricBlahaDercoB − DBasisWins50+5in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match44.635.2+9.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBlahaDercoBasisWin rate · lifetime99 / 198 vs 48 / 9150%52.8%99 / 198 vs 48 / 91Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BlahaBlaha 1.63/Derco 2.13
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.8%
Blaha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Blaha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 26 · 15:00M. Blaha511211116113M. Derco5014981182
WAug 20 · 20:30M. Blaha53881115113M. Derco48111191342
WAug 16 · 07:00M. Blaha4414118113M. Derco331281121
WAug 16 · 20:00M. Blaha331111113M. Derco166460
WJul 10 · 18:00M. Blaha4211119113M. Derco29651171
M. Blaha10
WSep 26 · 16:30M. Blaha1.83511411113Z. Luksa1.8311911692WSep 26 · 15:00M. Blaha1.531211116113M. Derco2.3814981182LSep 26 · 14:00R. Adamczyk1.5011812143M. Blaha2.5071110121LSep 22 · 21:30M. Blaha1.65117761Z. Luksa2.1081111113WSep 22 · 20:00M. Blaha1.831313113Z. Luksa1.83111190WSep 22 · 19:30M. Stolba3.25781141M. Blaha1.3311119113WSep 22 · 18:00M. Blaha1.441111113S. Blabla2.636560WSep 14 · 20:30A. Kanak2.7511561162M. Blaha1.40611115113LSep 14 · 19:30M. Blaha2.00611111162R. Adamczyk1.73111388113LSep 14 · 18:30T. Navrat1.53713811113M. Blaha2.38111111882
M. Derco10
LSep 26 · 16:00R. Adamczyk1.671113113M. Derco2.1051140LSep 26 · 15:00M. Blaha1.531211116113M. Derco2.3814981182LSep 26 · 14:30M. Derco1.25519170Z. Luksa3.751121193WSep 21 · 09:30M. Derco1.6111111110113J. Toth2.2097131242WSep 21 · 08:00M. Derco1.7311312113A. Kanak2.004111051LSep 21 · 07:30J. Toth2.7512612113M. Derco1.4010111091WSep 21 · 06:00M. Derco1.401111113Z. Luksa2.755950LSep 14 · 08:58M. Derco1.67118881V. Rybar2.1091111113WSep 14 · 08:30V. Rybar1.80711651M. Derco1.9111911113LSep 14 · 07:30M. Derco2.0011481162M. Levicky1.73911119113
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