TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Vojtech Kocian vs Petr Banot 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9116111012––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:58 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeVojtech Kocian to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVojtech Kocian above · Petr Banot below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 59 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Vojtech Kocian at 57.7%
59 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Kocian 6–3 Petr Banot Petr Banot has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Kocian beat Banot 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:58What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kocian
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-3 in 9
Kocian
Wrong
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kocian 1310 vs Banot 1285
Kocian
Wrong
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kocian 20% vs Banot 40%
Banot
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kocian 50% vs Banot 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kocian +1 · Banot -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Kocian) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kocian form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKocian 1.57 / Banot 2.25
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Kocian)-1.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13208467
Kocian1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite68% won 43 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it88% 15 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it78% 29 of 37
Banot2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 13 of 36
Down 0–1, comes back27% 6 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back15% 2 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeKocian6wins
AwayBanot3wins
3 of 9 to a deciderKocian leads 6–3, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKocian60%3 of 5
AwayBanot25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kocian5Banot4n = 9Kocian took 5 of 9
S2Kocian7Banot2n = 9Kocian took 7 of 9
S3Kocian5Banot4n = 9Kocian took 5 of 9
S4Kocian4Banot3n = 7Kocian took 4 of 7
S5Kocian1Banot2n = 3Banot took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home444%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricKocianBanotK − BBasisWins63+3in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match41.137.1+4.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKocianBanotBasisWin rate · lifetime95 / 185 vs 57 / 12051.4%47.5%95 / 185 vs 57 / 120Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KocianKocian 1.57/Banot 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Kocian · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Banot won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 27 · 21:00V. Kocian2596100P. Banot341111123
WSep 27 · 20:00V. Kocian591113168113P. Banot51811181132
WSep 25 · 11:00V. Kocian4161111133P. Banot381188111
LAug 1 · 09:30V. Kocian4414118562P. Banot511261111113
LAug 1 · 07:30V. Kocian4311711682P. Banot46511811113
WJul 17 · 21:30V. Kocian4011117113P. Banot32951171
WJul 17 · 20:30V. Kocian4291111113P. Banot34117791
WApr 2 · 12:58V. Kocian43101111113P. Banot26124551
WApr 2 · 12:30V. Kocian331111113P. Banot227960
V. Kocian10
WSep 27 · 20:00V. Kocian1.531113168113P. Banot2.38811181132LSep 27 · 19:30R. Adamczyk2.5011912113V. Kocian1.508111011LSep 27 · 18:00V. Kocian1.5711751172M. Levicky2.25711117113LSep 25 · 13:30A. Virag1.251111113V. Kocian3.757750LSep 25 · 12:00A. Virag1.2811119113V. Kocian3.50621191WSep 25 · 11:00P. Banot2.251188111V. Kocian1.5761111133WSep 25 · 10:30V. Kocian1.571061311113M. Levicky2.25121111842WSep 16 · 13:00V. Kocian3.75791111113Z. Balusek1.2511118982LSep 16 · 12:00V. Kocian3.256911141A. Schneeberger1.3311117163WSep 16 · 11:30Z. Zientek2.2511411672V. Kocian1.57711811113
P. Banot10
LSep 27 · 20:00V. Kocian1.531113168113P. Banot2.38811181132WSep 27 · 19:00M. Levicky2.208121161P. Banot1.6111145113LSep 27 · 18:30P. Banot1.6769100R. Adamczyk2.101111123LSep 25 · 12:59P. Banot1.539870M. Levicky2.381111113WSep 25 · 12:30P. Banot1.44117118163M. Levicky2.63511811142LSep 25 · 11:00P. Banot2.251188111V. Kocian1.5761111133LSep 25 · 10:00A. Virag1.441111113P. Banot2.638680LSep 17 · 09:30M. Kaspar1.65612129113P. Banot2.101110101172WSep 17 · 08:00P. Banot1.44117117113M. Levicky2.6381171162WSep 17 · 07:30V. Rybar2.008830P. Banot1.731111113
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