TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Matej Levicky vs Petr Banot 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1161012115116––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:59 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMatej Levicky to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingMatej Levicky above · Petr Banot below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 3-4
Point 62 set 4, 3-4 · our read held Matej Levicky at 54.0%
62 points drawn · the score is 10 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Matej Levicky 5–10 Petr Banot Matej Levicky has won 5 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:5954.0%Our read52.4%to break even at 1.909
clears by 1.6pp52.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.909 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Banot
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
5-10 in 15
Banot
Wrong
gap of 5 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Levicky 1323 vs Banot 1251
Levicky
Correct
both rated, 72 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Levicky 80% vs Banot 0%
Levicky
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Levicky 80% vs Banot 30%
Levicky
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Levicky +4 · Banot -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Levicky) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Banot form (0%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLevicky 1.909 / Banot 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Levicky)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13233240
Levicky1.91
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 37 of 101
Down 0–1, comes back24% 15 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 33
Banot1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 23 of 36
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it82% 22 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLevicky4wins
AwayBanot6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBanot leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLevickyn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayBanot75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Levicky2Banot8n = 10Banot took 8 of 10
S2Levicky7Banot3n = 10Levicky took 7 of 10
S3Levicky5Banot5n = 10split evenly
S4Levicky3Banot4n = 7Banot took 4 of 7
S5Levicky2Banot2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLevickyBanotL − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match36.939.3−2.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLevickyBanotBasisWin rate · lifetime207 / 397 vs 59 / 12952.1%45.7%207 / 397 vs 59 / 129Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
LevickyLevicky 1.91/Banot 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Levicky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Levicky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 29 · 12:00M. Levicky331111113P. Banot247980
LSep 27 · 19:00M. Levicky378121161P. Banot4111145113
WSep 25 · 12:59M. Levicky331111113P. Banot249870
LSep 25 · 12:30M. Levicky49511811142P. Banot53117118163
LSep 17 · 08:00M. Levicky4381171162P. Banot47117117113
WAug 20 · 20:30M. Levicky546111311133P. Banot541113118112
LAug 18 · 08:58M. Levicky116410P. Banot331111113
LAug 18 · 07:30M. Levicky33811681P. Banot4011711113
WMay 9 · 13:00M. Levicky47611118113P. Banot3711541162
LMay 9 · 10:30M. Levicky29611661P. Banot4011711113
M. Levicky10
WOct 3 · 14:00D. Kolek2.201191161M. Levicky1.6191113113WSep 29 · 13:30M. Levicky2.1011511113V. Kocian1.67911861WSep 29 · 12:00M. Levicky2.501111113P. Banot1.507980WSep 29 · 11:30R. Adamczyk2.38912591M. Levicky1.53111011113LSep 29 · 10:00M. Levicky2.1051181262V. Kocian1.671171110113WSep 27 · 21:29M. Levicky1.611313113R. Adamczyk2.20111150WSep 27 · 20:30M. Levicky1.831114113R. Adamczyk1.8361280LSep 27 · 19:00M. Levicky2.208121161P. Banot1.6111145113WSep 27 · 18:00V. Kocian1.5711751172M. Levicky2.25711117113WSep 25 · 12:59P. Banot1.539870M. Levicky2.381111113
P. Banot10
LOct 3 · 14:30P. Banot1.57111171162R. Adamczyk2.25713113113LOct 3 · 12:59Z. Luksa2.051111107113P. Banot1.6899121172LOct 3 · 12:00P. Banot1.401110711112V. Rybar2.75812118133LOct 3 · 11:30M. Blaha2.6311911113P. Banot1.44611911LOct 3 · 10:00P. Banot1.44871161Z. Luksa2.6311117113WSep 29 · 12:58P. Banot1.731111113R. Adamczyk2.008770LSep 29 · 12:00M. Levicky2.501111113P. Banot1.507980LSep 29 · 11:00V. Kocian1.736111111113P. Banot2.0011813872WSep 27 · 19:00M. Levicky2.208121161P. Banot1.6111145113LSep 25 · 12:59P. Banot1.539870M. Levicky2.381111113
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