TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Roman Guliak vs Antonin Schneeberger 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
11741110121012––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:56 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAntonin Schneeberger to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Guliak above · Antonin Schneeberger below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 77 set 4, 10-12 · our read held Antonin Schneeberger at 54.0%
77 points played in total.
H2H Roman Guliak 1–3 Antonin Schneeberger Roman Guliak has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickContradict
Sealed 19:5654.0%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666
short by 6.0pp60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Schneeberger
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Schneeberger
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Guliak 1398 vs Schneeberger 1332
Guliak
Wrong
both rated, 66 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Guliak 40% vs Schneeberger 60%
Schneeberger
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Guliak 40% vs Schneeberger 70%
Schneeberger
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Guliak -3 · Schneeberger +1
Guliak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent, and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Schneeberger) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGuliak 2.10 / Schneeberger 1.666
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Guliak)-1.6pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13265700
Guliak2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 73 of 183
Down 0–1, comes back24% 26 of 109
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 69
Schneeberger1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 65 of 100
Up 2–0, closes it89% 31 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it78% 47 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeGuliak1wins
AwaySchneeberger3wins
Schneeberger leads 3–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGuliakn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwaySchneeberger100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Guliak1Schneeberger3n = 4Schneeberger took 3 of 4
S2Guliak0Schneeberger4n = 4Schneeberger took 4 of 4
S3Guliak1Schneeberger3n = 4Schneeberger took 3 of 4
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away375%
These 4 meetings
MetricGuliakSchneebergerG − SBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match25.833.2−7.4per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGuliakSchneebergerBasisWin rate · lifetime339 / 686 vs 135 / 29649.4%45.6%339 / 686 vs 135 / 296Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
GuliakGuliak 2.10/Schneeberger 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Schneeberger · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Schneeberger won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LJul 18 · 12:30R. Guliak2161050A. Schneeberger341112113
WJun 23 · 21:00R. Guliak3911611113A. Schneeberger31611591
LJun 23 · 20:30R. Guliak188550A. Schneeberger331111113
LJun 20 · 18:30R. Guliak2581160A. Schneeberger351113113
R. Guliak10
LOct 8 · 19:30P. Hanel1.331111113R. Guliak3.259560LOct 8 · 18:00R. Guliak2.381111871M. Jasek1.5313811113LOct 6 · 21:28M. Jasek1.671111113R. Guliak2.106580WOct 6 · 20:00M. Kowolowski1.6118771162R. Guliak2.201611118113WOct 6 · 19:00I. Taichman2.108860R. Guliak1.671111113LOct 6 · 18:30R. Guliak1.91119861M. Jasek1.8081111113LOct 5 · 21:30P. Hanel1.3651111113R. Guliak3.00119921WOct 5 · 20:00R. Guliak2.38581211113F. Zurek1.53111110992LOct 5 · 19:30P. Hanel1.5091111113R. Guliak2.50116941WOct 5 · 18:00R. Guliak1.831111113I. Taichman1.836480
A. Schneeberger10
WOct 8 · 19:00M. Jasek1.30118861A. Schneeberger3.1561111113LOct 8 · 18:29A. Schneeberger3.75117981P. Hanel1.2571111113WOct 5 · 13:30J. Stach1.45511471A. Schneeberger2.5011711113WOct 5 · 12:30M. Levicky2.75118881A. Schneeberger1.4081111113LOct 5 · 11:30A. Schneeberger3.00116121152J. Stach1.36711149113WOct 5 · 10:30Z. Zientek2.10116421A. Schneeberger1.6761111113WOct 3 · 21:29D. Kolek1.83118917102A. Schneeberger1.838111115123LOct 3 · 20:30A. Schneeberger1.6196111262D. Kolek2.201111510113WOct 3 · 19:00A. Schneeberger1.501111113M. Levicky2.507870WOct 3 · 18:00Z. Zientek2.0011851162A. Schneeberger1.73811115113
Upcoming Matches
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A. Schneeberger
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