TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Zdenek Luksa vs Vaclav Rybar 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 9Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711511311––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:43 and never touched: 63.3% is still 63.3%
Graded at full timeVaclav Rybar to win
63.3%
63.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
RightSent to Pro: Vaclav Rybar @ 1.50 · Won
How it is goingZdenek Luksa above · Vaclav Rybar below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 48 set 3, 3-11 · our read held Vaclav Rybar at 63.3%
48 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Luksa 0–2 Vaclav Rybar Zdenek Luksa has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pick
Sealed 09:43Sent to Pro: Vaclav Rybar @ 1.50 · Won
63.3%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50
short by 3.4pp66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Rybar
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Luksa 1267 vs Rybar 1341
Rybar
Correct
both rated, 74 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Luksa 60% vs Rybar 100%
Rybar
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Luksa 40% vs Rybar 70%
Rybar
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Luksa -1 · Rybar +6
Rybar
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent when this read was sealed. The pick sent to Pro came from a re-read before the serve.
Signal confidence: 63% · Clear lean (leans Rybar) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rybar form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLuksa 2.50 / Rybar 1.50
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Rybar)-3.4pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13263978
Luksa2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 07)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog52% won 25 of 48
Down 0–1, comes back35% 10 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back15% 2 of 13
Rybar1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 6 days ago (Oct 03)
Won last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 21 of 32
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it90% 17 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeLuksa0wins
AwayRybar2wins
Rybar leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away2
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricLuksaRybarL − RBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match30.042.0−12.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLuksaRybarBasisWin rate · lifetime71 / 143 vs 30 / 5249.7%57.7%71 / 143 vs 30 / 52Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.136.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
RybarLuksa 2.50/Rybar 1.50
Hit
What we said
63.3%
Rybar · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Vaclav Rybar @ 1.50 · Won
What happened
0–3
Rybar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LOct 3 · 11:00Z. Luksa34911591V. Rybar4211911113
LOct 2 · 20:00Z. Luksa26114921V. Rybar4291111113
Z. Luksa10
LOct 9 · 11:00A. Schneeberger1.401111113Z. Luksa2.755490LOct 7 · 13:30D. Kolek1.52611611113Z. Luksa2.3511611742WOct 7 · 12:30Z. Luksa1.40111212133M. Stolba2.7591410111WOct 7 · 11:00Z. Luksa1.57411712113M. Levicky2.25118111072LOct 7 · 10:00D. Kolek1.67311116143Z. Luksa2.10115811122WOct 3 · 12:59Z. Luksa2.051111107113P. Banot1.6899121172LOct 3 · 12:30Z. Luksa1.9181180M. Blaha1.801113113LOct 3 · 11:00Z. Luksa2.00911591V. Rybar1.7311911113WOct 3 · 10:00P. Banot1.44871161Z. Luksa2.6311117113LOct 2 · 21:00Z. Luksa1.5741116562T. Navrat2.251181411113
V. Rybar10
LOct 9 · 11:30V. Rybar1.5310870V. Kocian2.381211113WOct 3 · 13:30V. Rybar1.4311118113M. Blaha2.60571161WOct 3 · 12:00P. Banot1.401110711112V. Rybar2.75812118133WOct 3 · 11:00Z. Luksa2.00911591V. Rybar1.7311911113WOct 3 · 10:30V. Rybar1.571111113M. Blaha2.259680WOct 2 · 21:30V. Rybar1.75124114113M. Derco1.95101191182WOct 2 · 20:00V. Rybar1.6791111113Z. Luksa2.10114921LOct 2 · 19:30M. Derco2.0011114123V. Rybar1.738311101WOct 2 · 18:00V. Rybar1.361111113T. Navrat3.008750LSep 17 · 09:00V. Rybar1.5094140M. Levicky2.501111163
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