TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Volodymir Maksuta vs Yevhenii Holoborodko 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 7Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
112116116––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:04 and never touched: 64.9% is still 64.9%
Graded at full timeVolodymir Maksuta to win
64.9%
64.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymir Maksuta above · Yevhenii Holoborodko below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 47 set 3, 11-6 · our read held Volodymir Maksuta at 64.9%
47 points played in total.
H2H Volodymir Maksuta 16–14 Yevhenii Holoborodko Yevhenii Holoborodko has won 14 of their 30 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:0464.9%Our read69.3%to break even at 1.444
short by 4.4pp69.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.444 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Maksuta
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
16-14 in 30
Maksuta
Correct
gap of 2 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maksuta 1614 vs Holoborodko 1555
Maksuta
Correct
both rated, 59 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maksuta 0% vs Holoborodko 60%
Holoborodko
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maksuta 30% vs Holoborodko 50%
Holoborodko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maksuta -6 · Holoborodko -1
Maksuta
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% · Clear lean (leans Maksuta) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holoborodko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaksuta 1.444 / Holoborodko 2.625
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Maksuta)-4.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13255586
Maksuta1.44
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 05)
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 85 of 132
Up 2–0, closes it98% 49 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it82% 66 of 81
Holoborodko2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Oct 04)
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog38% won 77 of 202
Down 0–1, comes back24% 29 of 122
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaksuta5wins
AwayHoloborodko5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaksuta50%3 of 6
AwayHoloborodko50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maksuta6Holoborodko4n = 10Maksuta took 6 of 10
S2Maksuta7Holoborodko3n = 10Maksuta took 7 of 10
S3Maksuta7Holoborodko3n = 10Maksuta took 7 of 10
S4Maksuta3Holoborodko4n = 7Holoborodko took 4 of 7
S5Maksuta0Holoborodko4n = 4Holoborodko took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaksutaHoloborodkoM − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.436.6+3.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaksutaHoloborodkoBasisWin rate · lifetime182 / 321 vs 350 / 68356.7%51.2%182 / 321 vs 350 / 683Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
MaksutaMaksuta 1.44/Holoborodko 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.9%
Maksuta · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Maksuta won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 1 · 12:40V. Maksuta2511770Y. Holoborodko351311113
WSep 24 · 13:40V. Maksuta331111113Y. Holoborodko182970
WSep 17 · 13:10V. Maksuta43101111113Y. Holoborodko26123651
LSep 12 · 16:10V. Maksuta50128111182Y. Holoborodko501011513113
LSep 10 · 12:10V. Maksuta4291111562Y. Holoborodko48116911113
LJul 30 · 12:40V. Maksuta44117111052Y. Holoborodko49811712113
LJul 23 · 17:40V. Maksuta4411119762Y. Holoborodko51991111113
WJul 16 · 17:40V. Maksuta341111123Y. Holoborodko2037100
WJul 14 · 14:10V. Maksuta4211119113Y. Holoborodko28481151
WJul 9 · 17:40V. Maksuta4791311143Y. Holoborodko4111117121
V. Maksuta10
LOct 5 · 17:10Y. Riadynskyi1.6711811123V. Maksuta2.105118101LOct 5 · 16:10O. Strutinskiy1.671411113V. Maksuta2.1012260LOct 5 · 14:40O. Zhyrnov1.91612911113V. Maksuta1.80111011982LOct 5 · 12:40A. Derevianko1.611111113V. Maksuta2.209550LOct 5 · 10:40E. Hrytsenko1.8371111113V. Maksuta1.83119251LOct 1 · 17:10E. Hrytsenko1.911111113V. Maksuta1.807850WOct 1 · 16:10M. Tiutiunnyk2.759950V. Maksuta1.401111113WOct 1 · 14:40V. Merzlikin2.1010910V. Maksuta1.671211113LOct 1 · 12:40Y. Holoborodko2.751311113V. Maksuta1.4011770WOct 1 · 10:40O. Zhyrnov1.83119961V. Maksuta1.8351111113
Y. Holoborodko10
LOct 4 · 11:00O. Kuzyshyn1.441111113Y. Holoborodko2.635670WOct 4 · 10:00A. Droshchynskyi1.3086111192Y. Holoborodko3.40111144113LOct 4 · 08:30Y. Bondarenko2.206111112123Y. Holoborodko1.61117914102WOct 4 · 06:30O. Varlamov1.8021161142Y. Holoborodko1.91119119113WOct 4 · 04:30A. Obishchenko1.735111061Y. Holoborodko2.0011712113LOct 3 · 17:40A. Zozulia1.6161111103Y. Holoborodko2.20116941WOct 3 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko2.753111110113O. Kuzyshyn1.4011891292LOct 3 · 14:10A. Droshchynskyi1.3091411113Y. Holoborodko3.401112941WOct 3 · 12:10Y. Skorobahatyi1.61951191Y. Holoborodko2.2011116113WOct 1 · 12:40Y. Holoborodko2.751311113V. Maksuta1.4011770
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