TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Lukas Zeman vs Jiri Ruzicka 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 7Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117115118––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:57 and never touched: 63.2% is still 63.2%
Graded at full timeLukas Zeman to win
63.2%
63.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Zeman above · Jiri Ruzicka below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 53 set 3, 11-8 · our read held Lukas Zeman at 63.2%
53 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Zeman 14–6 Jiri Ruzicka Jiri Ruzicka has won 6 of their 20 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:5763.2%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533
short by 2.0pp65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Zeman
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
14-6 in 20
Zeman
Correct
gap of 8 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zeman 1851 vs Ruzicka 1813
Zeman
Correct
both rated, 37 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zeman 40% vs Ruzicka 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zeman 60% vs Ruzicka 40%
Zeman
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zeman -1 · Ruzicka -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% · Clear lean (leans Zeman) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zeman form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZeman 1.533 / Ruzicka 2.375
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Zeman)-2.0pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13253618
Zeman1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 05)
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 35 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it78% 28 of 36
Ruzicka2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Oct 06)
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 136 of 346
Down 0–1, comes back19% 42 of 218
Down 0–2, comes back5% 6 of 117
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZeman5wins
AwayRuzicka5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZeman50%2 of 4
AwayRuzicka50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zeman4Ruzicka6n = 10Ruzicka took 6 of 10
S2Zeman6Ruzicka4n = 10Zeman took 6 of 10
S3Zeman5Ruzicka5n = 10split evenly
S4Zeman5Ruzicka2n = 7Zeman took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricZemanRuzickaZ − RBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.738.1+0.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZemanRuzickaBasisWin rate · lifetime242 / 479 vs 700 / 141950.5%49.3%242 / 479 vs 700 / 1419Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.838.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ZemanZeman 1.53/Ruzicka 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.2%
Zeman · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zeman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 5 · 11:30L. Zeman257990J. Ruzicka331111113
WFeb 19 · 10:26L. Zeman3741111113J. Ruzicka37118991
LFeb 19 · 09:30L. Zeman531191110122J. Ruzicka54811912143
LFeb 13 · 09:59L. Zeman51118512152J. Ruzicka556111110173
WFeb 13 · 09:30L. Zeman4391112113J. Ruzicka361161091
LJun 5 · 01:00L. Zeman37911891J. Ruzicka4011711113
LMay 21 · 00:30L. Zeman268990J. Ruzicka331111113
WApr 26 · 13:30L. Zeman3811115113J. Ruzicka30851161
WApr 26 · 12:00L. Zeman341111123J. Ruzicka2486100
WApr 15 · 23:30L. Zeman4381212113J. Ruzicka3911101081
L. Zeman10
LOct 7 · 23:30L. Zeman1.671168111T. Postelt2.1061111133LOct 5 · 13:30M. Huk2.25111111113L. Zeman1.57421331WOct 5 · 12:00L. Zeman1.7351111113E. Mares2.00116971LOct 5 · 11:30J. Ruzicka2.631111113L. Zeman1.447990WOct 5 · 10:00L. Zeman1.501111911113M. Huk2.5013411842LSep 19 · 17:30L. Zeman1.83118151192E. Mares1.831311138113WSep 19 · 16:00L. Zeman3.2511119113J. Cernik1.33351181WSep 19 · 15:30D. Opanasiuk1.6198100L. Zeman2.201111123LSep 19 · 14:00L. Zeman1.9171151392E. Mares1.801191111113WSep 19 · 13:30L. Prikasky1.573570L. Zeman2.251111113
J. Ruzicka10
LOct 7 · 23:00J. Ruzicka2.386111161J. Vales1.5311713113LOct 6 · 13:28L. Jindrak1.3016119113J. Ruzicka3.401481181WOct 6 · 12:30J. Vales1.5341111752J. Ruzicka2.38116811113WOct 6 · 11:30J. Ruzicka2.501112113E. Mares1.5051090LOct 6 · 10:30L. Jindrak1.331211113J. Ruzicka3.2510450LOct 6 · 09:00J. Kycelt1.40111174113J. Ruzicka2.7585111192WOct 6 · 08:30J. Vales1.53121111772J. Ruzicka2.38147411113LOct 6 · 07:30J. Ruzicka2.501112100L. Jindrak1.501314123LOct 6 · 06:30J. Kycelt1.441111113J. Ruzicka2.639790WOct 5 · 11:30J. Ruzicka2.631111113L. Zeman1.447990
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.