TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jakub Kycelt vs Jiri Ruzicka 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118115711411119
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingJakub Kycelt above · Jiri Ruzicka below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 88 set 5, 11-9
88 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Kycelt 23–13 Jiri Ruzicka Jiri Ruzicka has won 13 of their 36 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Kycelt beat Ruzicka 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kycelt form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKycelt 1.40 / Ruzicka 2.75
Czech Liga Pro · #13253408
Kycelt1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 36 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it82% 28 of 34
Ruzicka2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 135 of 344
Down 0–1, comes back19% 42 of 217
Down 0–2, comes back5% 6 of 114
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKycelt9wins
AwayRuzicka1wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKycelt leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKycelt100%7 of 7
AwayRuzicka33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kycelt7Ruzicka3n = 10Kycelt took 7 of 10
S2Kycelt8Ruzicka2n = 10Kycelt took 8 of 10
S3Kycelt7Ruzicka3n = 10Kycelt took 7 of 10
S4Kycelt5Ruzicka1n = 6Kycelt took 5 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKyceltRuzickaK − RBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.931.5+6.4per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKyceltRuzickaBasisWin rate · lifetime174 / 346 vs 702 / 141950.3%49.5%174 / 346 vs 702 / 1419Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KyceltKycelt 1.40/Ruzicka 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–2
Kycelt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 6 · 06:30J. Kycelt331111113J. Ruzicka259790
WSep 2 · 19:30J. Kycelt331111113J. Ruzicka219750
WAug 1 · 14:30J. Kycelt331111113J. Ruzicka248880
WMay 27 · 00:30J. Kycelt4111114153J. Ruzicka385911131
LApr 15 · 00:00J. Kycelt30761161J. Ruzicka4111118113
WApr 10 · 07:00J. Kycelt50115914113J. Ruzicka45211111292
WApr 9 · 21:00J. Kycelt331111113J. Ruzicka181980
WApr 9 · 19:00J. Kycelt46111410113J. Ruzicka388121261
WApr 1 · 01:30J. Kycelt43101111113J. Ruzicka30123781
WFeb 18 · 02:30J. Kycelt3741111113J. Ruzicka35119781
J. Kycelt10
LOct 6 · 08:00L. Jindrak1.441111113J. Kycelt2.634460LOct 6 · 07:00J. Vales1.53911116113J. Kycelt2.3811971162WOct 6 · 06:30J. Kycelt1.441111113J. Ruzicka2.639790LSep 30 · 09:30J. Kycelt1.36119261R. Urbaniec3.0041111113WSep 30 · 08:00E. Mares1.571181111262J. Kycelt2.25911139283WSep 30 · 07:00R. Urbaniec3.00911591J. Kycelt1.3611811113LSep 30 · 06:30J. Kycelt2.639101121J. Vales1.4411124113LSep 29 · 08:58J. Kycelt2.25113951E. Mares1.5791111113WSep 29 · 08:30E. Mares1.57127651J. Kycelt2.25101111113LSep 29 · 07:30J. Kycelt2.251311751J. Vales1.5715411113
J. Ruzicka10
WOct 6 · 08:30J. Vales1.53121111772J. Ruzicka2.38147411113LOct 6 · 07:30J. Ruzicka2.501112100L. Jindrak1.501314123LOct 6 · 06:30J. Kycelt1.441111113J. Ruzicka2.639790WOct 5 · 16:59J. Ruzicka2.50111011113E. Mares1.50912771LOct 5 · 16:30J. Ruzicka2.101011951V. Koubek1.6712711113WOct 5 · 15:00J. Ruzicka1.831171310123M. Huk1.839111112102LOct 5 · 14:00E. Mares1.57115129113J. Ruzicka2.25711101192LOct 5 · 13:06E. Mares1.571112113J. Ruzicka2.2571090LOct 5 · 12:30M. Huk1.838111114113J. Ruzicka1.83118131252WOct 5 · 11:30J. Ruzicka2.631111113L. Zeman1.447990
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