TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Lukas Jindrak vs Jakub Kycelt 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114114116––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:57 and never touched: 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeLukas Jindrak to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Jindrak above · Jakub Kycelt below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 47 set 3, 11-6 · our read held Lukas Jindrak at 65.7%
47 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Jindrak 5–3 Jakub Kycelt Jakub Kycelt has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:5765.7%Our read69.3%to break even at 1.444
short by 3.6pp69.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.444 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Jindrak
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
5-3 in 8
Jindrak
Correct
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jindrak 1931 vs Kycelt 1831
Jindrak
Correct
both rated, 99 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jindrak 60% vs Kycelt 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jindrak 80% vs Kycelt 40%
Jindrak
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jindrak +3 · Kycelt -1
Jindrak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% · Clear lean (leans Jindrak) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kycelt form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJindrak 1.444 / Kycelt 2.625
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Jindrak)-3.6pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13248885
Jindrak1.44
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 78 of 121
Up 2–0, closes it93% 38 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it83% 54 of 65
Kycelt2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog50% won 52 of 105
Down 0–1, comes back27% 15 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeJindrak5wins
AwayKycelt3wins
Jindrak leads 5–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJindrak75%3 of 4
AwayKycelt50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jindrak4Kycelt4n = 8split evenly
S2Jindrak4Kycelt4n = 8split evenly
S3Jindrak5Kycelt3n = 8Jindrak took 5 of 8
S4Jindrak3Kycelt1n = 4Jindrak took 3 of 4
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home338%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away225%
These 8 meetings
MetricJindrakKyceltJ − KBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match34.632.9+1.7per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJindrakKyceltBasisWin rate · lifetime229 / 411 vs 174 / 34555.7%50.4%229 / 411 vs 174 / 345Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
JindrakJindrak 1.44/Kycelt 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Jindrak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Jindrak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 29 · 06:30L. Jindrak371411123J. Kycelt28126100
LSep 1 · 16:30L. Jindrak218490J. Kycelt331111113
WAug 1 · 19:00L. Jindrak4181111113J. Kycelt32118491
LAug 1 · 16:00L. Jindrak249780J. Kycelt331111113
WMay 14 · 13:00L. Jindrak4211911113J. Kycelt28411491
LMay 14 · 12:00L. Jindrak381171191J. Kycelt4381113113
WApr 3 · 08:58L. Jindrak3941111133J. Kycelt381188111
WApr 3 · 08:00L. Jindrak351113113J. Kycelt2881190
L. Jindrak10
LOct 6 · 09:30L. Jindrak1.8071181172J. Vales1.91119116113WOct 6 · 07:30J. Ruzicka2.501112100L. Jindrak1.501314123WOct 6 · 06:00L. Jindrak1.8011911113J. Vales1.91811741WOct 2 · 09:00L. Jindrak1.501111113E. Mares2.504770LOct 2 · 08:30L. Jindrak1.5784111152J. Simecek2.25111145113LOct 2 · 07:00L. Jindrak1.336118121J. Ruzicka3.2511411143WOct 2 · 06:00E. Mares2.20115591L. Jindrak1.6191111113WSep 29 · 13:30L. Jindrak1.801181211113J. Vales1.9031114572WSep 29 · 12:30L. Jindrak1.671111113E. Mares2.106860WSep 29 · 11:00L. Jindrak1.8011911113J. Vales1.91811891
J. Kycelt10
WOct 6 · 09:00J. Kycelt1.40111174113J. Ruzicka2.7585111192LOct 6 · 07:00J. Vales1.53911116113J. Kycelt2.3811971162WOct 6 · 06:30J. Kycelt1.441111113J. Ruzicka2.639790LSep 30 · 09:30J. Kycelt1.36119261R. Urbaniec3.0041111113WSep 30 · 08:00E. Mares1.571181111262J. Kycelt2.25911139283WSep 30 · 07:00R. Urbaniec3.00911591J. Kycelt1.3611811113LSep 30 · 06:30J. Kycelt2.639101121J. Vales1.4411124113LSep 29 · 08:58J. Kycelt2.25113951E. Mares1.5791111113WSep 29 · 08:30E. Mares1.57127651J. Kycelt2.25101111113LSep 29 · 07:30J. Kycelt2.251311751J. Vales1.5715411113
Upcoming Matches
L. Jindrak
J. Kycelt
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